Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 251110
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 6509 Northwest...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
610 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light northerly winds will shift to southeast to southerly
by afternoon as high pressure east of the burn site dominates. Relatively
light surface and transport winds will bring generally good dispersions today.
More organized southerly flow Friday will bring higher dispersions, with good
dispersions expected.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy light fog is possible this morning,
then again later tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-1951 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 6 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the south 7 to 12 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest around 2 meters/second shifting to
                    the southeast 1 to 3 meters/second late in the
                    morning, then shifting to the south 3 to 5
                    meters/second in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........13     20     32     45     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     80     85     86     84
RH..............81     56     45     42     44
20 FT wind dir..NE     ESE    SSE    S      S
20 FT wind spd..2      3      6      7      8
20 FT wind gust.       6      8      10     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   4400   6100   6400   5700
Mix hgt (m).....400    1340   1860   1950   1740
Transp wind dir.NW     ESE    SSE    S      S
Transp wind spd.5      5      7      8      12
Trans wind dir..NW     ESE    SSE    S      S
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      3      4      5
Dispersion idx..6      24     48     55     51
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1737 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........35     31     30     41     52     60
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............81     72     67     63     62     61
RH..............49     66     81     97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..7      6      5      3      3      3
20 FT wind gust.12     9      7      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   400    400    400    500    500
Mix hgt (m).....1740   120    120    120    150    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.12     12     10     9      10     8
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      5      4      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..51     6      5      5      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      5      7      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 12 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 9 meters/second becoming 4 to 8
                    meters/second early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 8 to 9 meters/second in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 61.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     58     56     57     58     57
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     65     75     81     84     83
RH..............100    93     66     51     44     47
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..2      6      10     13     14     14
20 FT wind gust.5      9      17     22     24     24
Mix hgt (ft)....500    900    2400   3700   4200   4300
Mix hgt (m).....150    270    730    1130   1280   1310
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.8      10     17     18     20     20
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      8      8      9      9
Dispersion idx..4      15     48     62     62     58
LVORI...........9      5      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411167.8/MOB
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov


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