Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 231836
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
236 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.Near Term.../through Tuesday/...

The region will be in the warm sector of a low pressure system that
will be to the Northwest Tonight. Rounds of showers with embedded
thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening, especially
near the coast where additional instability will be supplied by
afternoon cloud breaks. The associated cold front will pass
Southeast across forecast area Overnight. Limited moisture
associated with front itself, so precipitation chances are
expected to trend downward Overnight. The low will track up the
East coast Tuesday, with a broad trough extending South across
region. This trough is not expected to produce rainfall, but will
provide added cloud coverage.

Temperatures are expected to be slightly above normal Tonight, then
near to above normal on Tuesday.

&&

.Short Term.../Tuesday night through Friday/...

As low pressure system moves up the Northeast coast, a series of
troughs pivoting around the low will cross the forecast area through
Thursday. Insufficient moisture present for a rain forecast with
these troughs. Another low is forecast to move Eastward along the
Northern gulf coast Thursday, and across Southeast Georgia Thursday
night, with a weak associated cold front crossing region Friday.
Chance for showers with this system and the front, but limited
support for thunder.

Temperatures will trend near to slightly above normal this period.

&&

.Long Term.../Friday night through Monday/...

The low will track to the Northeast Friday night, with a trailing
trough pivoting South across forecast area into Saturday, with a
chance for a few showers. A broad ridge of high pressure will then
build to the Northwest then North Sunday into Monday.

Temperatures will trend near normal this period.

&&

.Aviation...

Restrictions in showers and storms will continue this afternoon. The
rain will taper off overnight, but stratus will continue
restrictions. Conditions are expected to improve VFR Tuesday
morning.

&&

.Marine...

Low pressure will track to the Northwest of area waters through
Tonight, with a cold front crossing the region late Tonight into
Tuesday. The low will track up the East coast Tuesday night into
Wednesday with troughs pivoting through. A wave will move East
across the area Thursday into Friday. High pressure will build
from the West over the weekend.

Rip Currents: High risk Today. Moderate Risk Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  59  77  57  78 /  30  10  10   0
SSI  64  76  61  76 /  50  10   0   0
JAX  62  81  60  81 /  50  10   0   0
SGJ  65  81  60  79 /  60  10   0   0
GNV  62  80  58  80 /  30  10   0   0
OCF  64  80  58  80 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Duval-Coastal Nassau-Flagler-St. Johns.

GA...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Camden-Coastal Glynn.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Tuesday for Waters from
     Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
     Beach FL out 20 NM.

&&

$$



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