Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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729
FNUS72 KMLB 091032
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Broadmoor 6&7...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
632 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Good morning. Unseasonably hot with near record high
temperatures will combine with low humidity and a southwest wind flow
to produce a very sensitive fire weather day. The sea breeze will develop
along the coast and will push very slowly inland but it is not forecast
to reach the burn site, though it will get close between 6pm and 8pm.
A prevailing South breeze this morning will turn Southwest by afternoon
with speeds increasing 10 to 14 mph with some higher gusts. Dispersion
values will become Excellent this afternoon due to a deep mixed-layer.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 14 mph shifting to the west around
                    14 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 80.
LVORI...............7 increasing to 9 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 early in the morning decreasing
                    to 1 in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   3   2   3   3   3   4   3   4   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  80  84  88  91  94  95  97  97  97
RH..............84  72  61  54  45  40  37  34  34  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.            14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.6 5.8 6.9 7.6 8.4 8.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  14
Dispersion idx..11  30  44  53  68  75  79  80  79  80
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....80 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........8      16     10     2      8      38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............96     87     80     77     73     71
RH..............36     50     65     76     93     100
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....6400   500    400    400    400    2000
Transport wind..W 14   W 13   W 9    W 8    W 10   SW 8
Dispersion idx..80     8      4      4      5      4
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      6      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph shifting to the west 20
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 98.
LVORI...............6 increasing to 8 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 5 early in the morning decreasing
                    to 3 late in the morning decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........57        57        20        31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............73        78        90        96
RH..............93        88        53        38
20 FT wind......SW 6      SW 9G13   SW 13G17  SW 15G20
Mix hgt (ft)....400       2100      4600      7000
Transport wind..SW 9      SW 15     SW 17     W 21
Dispersion idx..6         38        67        93
LVORI...........6         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413534.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com