Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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073
FNUS74 KMOB 201206
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin G-2 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
706 AM CDT Sun May 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A moist pattern will continue to bring a good daily chance of
showers and thunderstorms to the region through the next several
days. Relative humidity values will remain well above critical
levels. Expect afternoon dispersions to be fair today and Monday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy mainly light fog will be
possible late tonight and early Monday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the morning. Showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1000, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1300, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500-4400 ft AGL increasing to 4600-6500 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon, then decreasing to 3600
                    ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........53     52     52     59     66
Weather cov.....       CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     60     60     60
LAL.............1      3      4      4      4
Temp............79     85     88     86     83
RH..............74     61     55     59     65
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      SE
20 FT wind spd..4      6      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.6      7      10     10     7
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   4400   6500   4600   3600
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      SE     SE
Transp wind spd.5      6      7      7      7
Dispersion idx..14     23     27     28     28
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 1900, then 9-15 strikes
                    until 0100, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1600 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     74     73     73     75     78
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............4      3      3      3      2      2
Temp............81     78     74     71     69     68
RH..............69     76     84     90     97     100
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..5      5      4      3      3      3
20 FT wind gust.6      6      6      4      4      4
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   1600   1600   1400   1200   1000
Transp wind dir.S      S      E      E      E      NE
Transp wind spd.7      7      7      7      8      9
Dispersion idx..26     6      6      7      8      8
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      7      7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Showers and thunderstorms likely in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0700, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1300, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100-2900 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....7 decreasing to 2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........81     83     84     86     86     87
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20     50     50     50     60     60
LAL.............2      3      3      3      4      4
Temp............69     72     79     83     82     83
RH..............97     90     72     65     67     65
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..4      5      6      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.6      6      7      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1700   2700   3100   3200   2900
Transp wind dir.E      E      SE     SE     SE     S
Transp wind spd.9      10     10     13     15     15
Dispersion idx..9      24     27     28     30     32
LVORI...........7      4      3      3      3      2

$$
Forecaster...21
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810335.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/20/18
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil



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