279
FXUS66 KLOX 141221
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
521 AM PDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.SYNOPSIS...14/346 AM.

Seasonal June conditions will continue through the week as at
least weak to moderate onshore flow continues, with night through
morning low clouds and fog across most coastal areas. Near to
slightly above normal temperatures will continue through early
next week, with minor afternoon heat impacts, before cooling down
during the middle of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...14/353 AM.

Today is expected to look a lot like yesterday, although a deeper
marine layer along the Central Coast should limit dense fog
coverage this morning. One difference is the push of low clouds
seen as satellite into the Salinas Valley early this morning that
will make a run for Paso Robles. Near normal temperatures
(70s-80) are anticipated near the coast with temperatures 5-10
degrees above normal (80s-100) across interior mountains and
valleys. Typically breezy afternoon to evening onshore winds are
expected peaking in strength through favored corridors.

Slight offshore trends and enhanced ridging aloft will bring a
few degrees of warming into Monday and Tuesday with the potential
for moderate heat impacts to expand for warmer coastal valleys and
the interior. Although above normal temperatures will increase
heat stress during the day for those interior areas, good cooling
trends in the evening and especially overnight should limit
overall impacts and therefore the need for heat products. However,
those sensitive to the heat may want to consider avoiding peak
heat of the day and hydrate often.

The marine layer and associated night-to-morning low clouds may
be squashed to mainly coastal areas for Monday and Tuesday with
limited to no valley penetration, contributing to the
aforementioned warming trends most notably for coastal valleys.
Fog may become more widespread within the marine layer albeit with
limited concern for dense fog given continued onshore flow and
only weak ridging aloft.

.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...14/346 AM.

A slow-developing trough will likely build into region Wednesday
or Thursday and bring moderate cooling trends away from the coast,
drastically reducing heat risk even to warmer interior areas.
Night to morning low clouds will likely continue, but expand well
into the coastal valleys and possibly some lower foothills.

The associated onshore push will support gusty onshore to
northwest winds nearing advisory levels for the interior,
possibly extending to southwest Santa Barbara. There may be a
period of enhanced fire weather concern on one or both of those
transition days (Wed/Thu) for far interior areas and maybe
especially at high elevations, which would be situated above the
expanding marine layer influence.

Looking further out, there`s a 50-60 percent chance of above
normal temperatures returning and perhaps becoming more widespread
during the early to middle part of next week as a ridge
potentially builds into the region.

&&

.AVIATION...14/1220Z.

At 07Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1200 ft deep. The top of the
inversion was near 2500 ft with a temperature of 23 C.

High confidence in VFR for KPMD, & KWJF. As well as for KBUR &
KVNY through at least 06Z.

Low to moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing of CIG/VSBY
restrictions may be off 2-3 hours and flight cat by one category.
There is a 20-30 percent chance that VFR conds return as early as
14Z for KLAX and KSMO. There is a 40 percent chance that VFR
conds prevail through at least 06Z for KLGB.

KLAX...Low confidence in TAF. There is a 20 percent chance that
VFR conds return as early as 14Z. No significant east wind
component expected.

KBUR... Moderate confidence in TAF. High confidence in VFR
conditions through 14/08Z. 30-40% chance of IFR/LIFR CIGs
12Z-16Z.

&&

.MARINE...13/821 PM.

Moderate to high confidence in current forecast. Conditions are
generally expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA)
levels across the coastal waters through the forecast period.

Local gusts could reach 21 kts during the afternoon and evening
timeframe across the western Santa Barbara Channel, Santa Monica
Basin, and nearshore Los Angeles Harbor into the San Pedro Channel.

Patchy dense fog with visibility 1 NM or less is possible each
night to morning through at least Monday.

&&

.BEACHES...13/824 PM.

A couple of long period southerly swells (14 seconds and 18
seconds) will continue to affect the coastal waters through early
next week. A Beach Hazard Statement is in effect through Monday
evening due to elevated surf of 3 to 6 feet on south-facing
beaches of Ventura County Beaches, Malibu Coast, Los Angeles
County Beaches, and Southern Santa Barbara County Beaches.

Evening tides of 7.5 to 7.9 ft are predicted from Saturday
through Tuesday. The combination of the unusually high tides with
elevated surf could result in minor to locally moderate coastal
flooding along south exposed coasts, along with potential for
sneaker waves. Even as tides lower, another couple of southerly
swells will move into the waters, which could extend concerns
into Wednesday night or Thursday. Stay tuned for updates and refer
to CFWLOX for additional details.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect through Monday evening for
      zones 349-350-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Munroe/SB
AVIATION...Munroe
MARINE...Black/Ciliberti
BEACHES...Black/Ciliberti
SYNOPSIS...SB

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox