Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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227 FXUS64 KOHX 100626 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 126 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 In the extended forecast, we will kick off the period with some upper ridging. The ridge axis will quickly move east, however, and give way to our next weather system. This system will take the form of an open wave. The associated frontal system will offer little n-s extension and instabilities will be weak. Nevertheless, showers and thunderstorms will return beginning Monday night, but the activity looks like a general risk. Otherwise, rainfall amounts look like maybe a half inch. After a brief break on Wednesday, look for more showers and tstms to return. This system looks more potent with a surface low tracking northeastward across the upper midwest. The southwestward frontal extension lacks organization, but 60 knots at 850 mb could end up being problematic if instability levels increase with time. As for now, no day 7 or day 8 spc inclusion. Rainfall totals at this point look like up to one inch or so. For the extended temps, values looking close to normal for mid May with lows upper 50s to lower 60s and highs mid 70s to lower 80s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 123 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 VFR conditions currently, but a period of low cigs may move in by 11Z at CKV progressing southeastward to SRB by 15Z. Conditions should improve areawide back to VFR by 18Z. Winds will remain from the N/NW, becoming gusty around 15 to 20 kts in the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 72 53 77 53 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 71 51 76 50 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 67 45 69 46 / 20 0 0 0 Columbia 72 50 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 67 47 72 48 / 20 0 0 0 Jamestown 66 46 70 47 / 30 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 72 50 77 52 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 71 49 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 71 51 77 52 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...21 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION.....Adcock