Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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722
FNUS54 KMAF 171838
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
138 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather conditions increase this weekend into early next
week as a dryline sharpens and an early season heatwave dries out
fuels across western regions from Southeast New Mexico into
Culberson County and the Big Bend. However, lack of strong winds
is likely to constrain fire risk to RFD category at most, despite
min RH well below critical 15% level, poor overnight recovery,
temperatures 10 to 15 degrees warmer than average in the 90s and
above for highs, and critically dry fuels southwest of the Pecos
River. While temperatures cool off temporarily during the middle
portion of next week, no rain is expected and fire risk will still
be present southwest of the Pecos River.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-180915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1238 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+6)      92 (+12)     56           92
RH % (24h trend)      33 (-46)     8 (-8)       27           6
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  7         W 10         SW  8        SW  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W  8         W  8         W  7         SW 16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     25           20           29           26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 13970                     12180
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 19                      SW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  265430                    328860
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            5
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Critical

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ117-180915-
Chaves Plains-
1238 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+3)      96 (+11)     56           99
RH % (24h trend)      47 (-48)     7 (-10)      36           6
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  6        W  6         S  6         SW  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW  6        NW  7        SW  6        SW 14
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            6            6            6
Wind 10000 FT MSL     21           21           27           22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 15120                     14930
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 14                      SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  211680                    388180
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            5
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Critical

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ118-180915-
Eddy Plains-
1238 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+3)      98 (+12)     60           101
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-42)     8 (-11)      33           6
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  5        W  6         SW  7        S  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S  6         W  5         SW  6        SW 16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            5            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     22           20           22           20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 14630                     13500
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 14                      SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  204820                    351000
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            5
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Critical

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ119-180915-
Lea-
1238 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+4)      96 (+13)     56           99
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-40)     8 (-11)      46           6
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  5        W  7         SW  6        S  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S  6         W  8         S  6         SW 16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            6            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     23           22           26           24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 14170                     14530
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 14                      SW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  198380                    392310
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            5
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Critical

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-180915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
138 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 /1238 PM MDT Fri May 17 2024/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+7)      91 (+14)     61           92
RH % (24h trend)      27 (-42)     8 (-10)      20           7
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  8         W 10         W  8         SW  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W  7         W 11         W  6         SW 16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            4            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     24           23           18           18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 11440                     10670
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 15                      SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  171600                    277420
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            1            1            4
RFTI Category         Nil          Elevated     Elevated     Near Crit

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-180915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
138 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      58 (+1)      98 (+11)     60           103
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-21)     7 (-7)       36           6
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW  7        W  6         SW  5        S  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  7        S  5         SW 12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          6            4            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     20           21           13           21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 12660                     13500
Transport Wnd (kts)                W 13                      SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  164580                    283500
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            2
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-180915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
138 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+2)      99 (+13)     62           104
RH % (24h trend)      76 (-12)     7 (-17)      70           7
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  5        SW  6        S  6         S 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S  5         SW  6        S  8         S 14
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          5            4            6            5
Wind 10000 FT MSL     22           26           16           27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 13940                     13570
Transport Wnd (kts)                SW 14                     S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  195160                    325680
Vent Category                      Excellent                 Excellent
RFTI                  0            0            0            2
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Elevated

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 102.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$