Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 070400

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1000 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

.UPDATE...Evening Update.

Clouds continue to build in across the MidSouth this evening due
to LL moisture and shallow cold advection. Cloudiness will persist
through most of the night keeping low`s in the 40`s. Portions of
NE MS and locations near water bodies could see a mix of low stratus
and patchy fog due to recent rains. Surface high pressure will
keep things dry tomorrow. However, clouds will linger through the



PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 357 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019/


A weak cold front is currently moving across the Midsouth this
afternoon. The back edge of low clouds appear to be advancing
southward on satellite, but more low clouds from cold advection
are approaching from the north. Expect enough moisture in place
combined with shallow cold advection to provide a mostly cloudy
night tonight.

A weak surface high will dominate the weather Saturday providing
dry conditions and light winds, but leftover moisture will keep
plenty of clouds around for most of the day. The high will move to
the east by Sunday, allowing for increased southerly winds and
slightly warmer temperatures.

The next system will be a cold front which will move across the
forecast area late Monday. Warm advection rain will develop Sunday
night well ahead of the front. Monday will be mild and moist with
increased chances of showers over the entire area and possible
thunderstorms over North Mississippi later in the day. Cold
advection will occur Monday night with the chance of rain
decreasing from the northwest. When the frontal boundary moves
well to the south by Tuesday, a stream of moisture from a
southwest flow aloft will provide steady rain well north of the
boundary affecting a good part of the forecast area. The rain will
exit the area by Tuesday evening before the colder air moves in
from the north.

Seasonably cold and dry conditions are expected Wednesday and
Thursday. Another system will develop near the Gulf of Mexico by
Friday and provide another chance of rain to the forecast area.



00Z TAFs

VFR CIGs will deteriorate to MVFR at MEM...MKL...and JBR over the
next couple of hours...while TUP will drop from IFR to LIFR. Low
CIGs are expected to remain in place at all sites for much of the
TAF period...with improving conds by tomorrow afternoon.

Winds will remain northeast between 5 and 10 kts through the
entire period.




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