Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS64 KMOB 240336

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1036 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2020

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday/...A wet beginning to the near term forecast
period followed by drying conditions at the end of the period. A surface
front will be moving into our forecast area from the west at
around 12z Saturday, providing a low level focus for moisture pooling.
In addition a surface pressure trough extending north out of the Gulf
and into our area will also provide additional lift out ahead of the
front. Aloft a 500 MB shortwave will be providing upper support as
it approaches the forecast area by the beginning of the period and
progresses east across the area during the day on Saturday and
into Saturday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and a few
isolated thunderstorms will accompany these features as they move
east across the area. PWATS in the 1.87 to near 2.0 inch range
during the morning hours Saturday, and then begin to taper off by
late morning and especially during the afternoon and early evening
hours. With this the showers and storms will be most numerous
during the morning hours across the entire area, then more focused
over the eastern portions of the forecast area by afternoon,
before ending across the entire area by Saturday evening. Much
drier air filters into the region behind the system, with PWATS on
Sunday dropping below 1 inch across the entire area. Some broken
cloud cover will continue across the area into late Saturday night
as rains end, but by Sunday skies will begin to clear as weak
upper ridging builds over the region. With increased cloud cover
and widespread precipitation on Saturday, look for max temps to be
a little cooler than the past several days with highs primarily
ranging from the mid/upper 70s to the lower 80s. Saturday night
also cooler as the drier airmass begins to move into the region,
with lows ranging from around 60s degrees over our far northwestern
zones to the lower 60s southeastern zones, with a few mid to
upper 60s along the immediate coast. Although we are expecting
slightly lower dewpoints on Sunday, abundant sunshine should allow
temperatures to warm in the lower 80s across most of the area.
A high risk of rip currents remains in effect along area beaches
through Saturday evening. /12/88


AL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ202-204-



This product is also available on the web at: is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.