440
FXUS64 KMOB 221148
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
648 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 408 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

A dry end to the week as our "cool" front has now moved offshore
of the area as zonal flow sets up across the deep south. Expect
dry conditions through Friday night With temperatures just
hovering in the low 90s. The only real exciting thing will be the
lower dewpoints today making the heat a little more manageable.
Unfortunately we live on the gulf coast and this only lasts a day
as dewpoints quickly increase on Friday in response to our
upcoming pattern change.

The pattern turns more unsettled as we roll into early next week.
Zonal flow aloft will gradually turn northwesterly as a ridge
builds to our west. A parade of subtle shortwaves will trek
through the northwesterly flow over the weekend leading to
scattered showers and storms. The best chance for rain will be
generally northwest of the I-65 corridor over the weekend where
forcing would be a little better. However, storms could meander to
the coastal areas as each individual shortwave moves through the
deep south. Flow will gradually become more zonal by the beginning
of next week leading to an increase in rain chances. Several
rounds of showers and storms will be expected during the week
next week. A surface low slides across the Mid- South, sending a
cold front into our area late on Tuesday or Wednesday. BB-8

BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the forecast with a light and
variable wind becoming a light southerly wind by the afternoon.
BB-8

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 408 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025

No hazards are expected in the marine areas through the weekend
and into next week. Increased rain chances will be possible by
Sunday and into next week. A light northerly flow today will turn
southerly and persist through the remainder of the forecast.

BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  66  90  70  90  71  90  72 /   0   0  10   0  20   0  10  10
Pensacola   86  70  88  73  88  74  87  76 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10  10
Destin      86  72  88  75  88  75  87  77 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10   0
Evergreen   91  62  92  65  92  67  93  69 /   0   0  10   0  20  10  20  10
Waynesboro  91  64  90  68  91  69  93  69 /   0   0  10   0  30   0  20  20
Camden      89  63  88  65  89  67  92  69 /   0   0   0   0  20  10  20  20
Crestview   91  62  93  66  93  67  92  69 /   0   0  10   0  10   0  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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