Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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000
FXUS66 KMTR 010101
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
601 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

...New AVIATION, MARINE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1233 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Warm start to the week with much below normal into the
later part of the week. Next chance of rain enters the forecast
Thursday and Friday, with temps remaining cool into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1233 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Mostly clear skies going into midday today promoting some CU
development over terrain from the Bay Area southward. Radar has been
showing some shower development over portions of San Benito and
Monterey counties, though not expecting anything more than a few of
these light showers here and there through tonight. Another cool
night ahead tonight as skies clear out, with temps around what was
seen last night...perhaps a degree or two warmer.

Monday looks to be a very pleasant day with skies clearing and
afternoon temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s, low-to-mid 60s
along the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1233 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Tuesday will be yet another warm day across the board with temps a
few degrees warmer than Monday. Afternoon highs in the mid-70s are
expected, while some areas further inland may approach the 80
degree mark, mid-60s along the coast.

The next active period looks to begin late Wednesday into Thursday
as a deep upper low moves down the West Coast, in very similar
fashion the one we just experienced over the past few days,
although a bit further inland with weaker moisture tap. The
positioning of the system also promote slightly cooler air
advecting into the area. Daytime highs Thursday and Friday will
likely struggle to get out of the 50s with overnight lows in the
upper 30s to lower 40s Thursday and Friday nights. This type of
setup is also conducive for snow in the Santa Lucia down to about
2,500 feet by Friday morning.

By Friday afternoon, the low begins to move away with guidance
hinting at a weak, shortwave ridging pattern by the weekend that
would provide some reprieve from showers and clearing skies.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 601 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

VFR through the TAF Period for all but the Monterey Bay, which will
see MVFR CIGs in the evening but will dissipate overnight. Scattered
showers and a few storms will move through the eastern portions of
the region through the evening. Expect moderate to breezy winds to
ease overnight for most areas overnight that will increase into
Monday afternoon.


Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period with passing mid-level
clouds this evening. Expect breezy winds to last through the evening
before reducing overnight. Moderate northwesterly winds build in to
Monday afternoon.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO

Monterey Bay Terminals...MVFR lasts into the late night before CIGs
dissipate. Winds reduce overnight, becoming light. Expect moderate
westerly winds to arrive Monday afternoon.



&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Saturday)
Issued at 601 PM PDT Sun Mar 31 2024

Winds reduce into the night, allowing conditions to gradually
improve through mid week. Beginning late Wednesday, a cold front
and subsequent trough will move across the waters, bringing the
return of strong NW winds and rough seas into the  late week.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Mry Bay-Pt
     Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for Pigeon Pt to Pt
     Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Monday for Pt Arena to Pt
     Reyes 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Behringer
LONG TERM....Behringer
AVIATION...Murdock
MARINE...Murdock

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