540
FXUS61 KALY 122347
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
747 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Mostly dry weather is expected through Friday with seasonably
warm temperatures making for pleasant, mid- June conditions.
Chances for rain increase Friday night and continue through the
weekend but precipitation looks to be showery as opposed
to continuous. These unsettled conditions will bring cooler
than normal temperatures through Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Clear and cool tonight as a moisture starved cold front continue
to press to our south. Somewhat breezy winds will weaken as we
lose daytime heating with gusts diminishing by 00 - 03 UTC
tonight. Another cool night tonight and a good night to open up
the windows as humidity levels remain low and overnight
temperatures drop into the upper 40s to mid 50s. A cirrus canopy
moves in after 06 UTC which should keep temperatures a few
degrees above from last night but still comfortable nonetheless.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Tranquil weather persists through Friday. Cooler nighttime
temperatures with the dryer air behind the front. Low
temperatures tonight will fall to the 40s and 50s before highs
Friday rise to upper 60s to upper 70s. Additionally, with the
surface high spreading into the area, Friday will be less
breezy than today. Attention then turns to Friday night through
Saturday where chances for rain increase once again.

Another shortwave develops aloft and begins to dig south and
east from southeast Ontario/southwest Quebec while a front is
stalled just to the south of our area. Enhanced low level convergence
associated with the nearby boundary will interact with the
lift from the incoming shortwave to promote scattered showers
Friday night into Saturday. During this period, Some elevated
instability is present across the southern part of our forecast
area and some isolated thunder showers are possible south.

The shortwave is progged to move southeast of the forecast area
Saturday night, and while clouds and some fog/drizzle may
linger, moisture and lift decrease and precipitation should be
very light.

Low temperatures Friday night will be in the upper 40s to upper
50s. Highs Saturday will fall below normal once again with
values primarily in the 60s. Lows Saturday night will be similar
to those of Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A slow moving frontal boundary will be draped just south of the
region across the northern mid Atlantic States on Sunday.  This
front will be drifting southward to end the weekend into early next
week, while a weak upper level disturbance moves across the Ohio
Valley and towards the Appalachians and mid Atlantic.  While the
best chance for widespread precip will mainly be south of the
region, a few showers may still occur across our area for Sunday
into Monday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. However,
coverage won`t be too high and surface high pressure off the coast
of New England may help advect some low level drier and more stable
air into the region from the east-northeast as well.  Will continue
slight chance to chance POPs Still, skies will feature more
clouds than sun and temps will be a little below normal, with
daytime highs in the 60s to mid 70s.

Little change in the pattern is expected through Wednesday so
scattered showers are possible through Wednesday, especially
during daytime heating. Heights and temps aloft will be slowing
rising through the week, which should allow for temps to warm
each day. Highs may return into the 80s for valley areas by the
middle of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions through 18 UTC Friday at all terminals. Clear
skies through 06 UTC, then a thicker cirrus canopy blankets GFL,
ALB and PSF from west to east by 09-10 UTC this morning. POU
remains mainly south of thicker cirrus clouds. Breezy winds with
sustained winds 5-10kts and gusts up to 20kts diminishing by
02-03 UTC under 5kts. Northerly winds by 12-13 UTC become
sustained around 5kts. Much less breezy on Friday compared to
today.

Outlook...

Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SHRA...TSRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ063>066.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SND
NEAR TERM...Speciale
SHORT TERM...SND
LONG TERM...SND
AVIATION...Speciale