


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
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540 FXUS61 KALY 122347 AFDALY AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 747 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Mostly dry weather is expected through Friday with seasonably warm temperatures making for pleasant, mid- June conditions. Chances for rain increase Friday night and continue through the weekend but precipitation looks to be showery as opposed to continuous. These unsettled conditions will bring cooler than normal temperatures through Monday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... Clear and cool tonight as a moisture starved cold front continue to press to our south. Somewhat breezy winds will weaken as we lose daytime heating with gusts diminishing by 00 - 03 UTC tonight. Another cool night tonight and a good night to open up the windows as humidity levels remain low and overnight temperatures drop into the upper 40s to mid 50s. A cirrus canopy moves in after 06 UTC which should keep temperatures a few degrees above from last night but still comfortable nonetheless. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... Tranquil weather persists through Friday. Cooler nighttime temperatures with the dryer air behind the front. Low temperatures tonight will fall to the 40s and 50s before highs Friday rise to upper 60s to upper 70s. Additionally, with the surface high spreading into the area, Friday will be less breezy than today. Attention then turns to Friday night through Saturday where chances for rain increase once again. Another shortwave develops aloft and begins to dig south and east from southeast Ontario/southwest Quebec while a front is stalled just to the south of our area. Enhanced low level convergence associated with the nearby boundary will interact with the lift from the incoming shortwave to promote scattered showers Friday night into Saturday. During this period, Some elevated instability is present across the southern part of our forecast area and some isolated thunder showers are possible south. The shortwave is progged to move southeast of the forecast area Saturday night, and while clouds and some fog/drizzle may linger, moisture and lift decrease and precipitation should be very light. Low temperatures Friday night will be in the upper 40s to upper 50s. Highs Saturday will fall below normal once again with values primarily in the 60s. Lows Saturday night will be similar to those of Friday night. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A slow moving frontal boundary will be draped just south of the region across the northern mid Atlantic States on Sunday. This front will be drifting southward to end the weekend into early next week, while a weak upper level disturbance moves across the Ohio Valley and towards the Appalachians and mid Atlantic. While the best chance for widespread precip will mainly be south of the region, a few showers may still occur across our area for Sunday into Monday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. However, coverage won`t be too high and surface high pressure off the coast of New England may help advect some low level drier and more stable air into the region from the east-northeast as well. Will continue slight chance to chance POPs Still, skies will feature more clouds than sun and temps will be a little below normal, with daytime highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Little change in the pattern is expected through Wednesday so scattered showers are possible through Wednesday, especially during daytime heating. Heights and temps aloft will be slowing rising through the week, which should allow for temps to warm each day. Highs may return into the 80s for valley areas by the middle of the week. && .AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR conditions through 18 UTC Friday at all terminals. Clear skies through 06 UTC, then a thicker cirrus canopy blankets GFL, ALB and PSF from west to east by 09-10 UTC this morning. POU remains mainly south of thicker cirrus clouds. Breezy winds with sustained winds 5-10kts and gusts up to 20kts diminishing by 02-03 UTC under 5kts. Northerly winds by 12-13 UTC become sustained around 5kts. Much less breezy on Friday compared to today. Outlook... Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SHRA...TSRA. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ063>066. MA...None. VT...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...SND NEAR TERM...Speciale SHORT TERM...SND LONG TERM...SND AVIATION...Speciale