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000
FXUS61 KBTV 040823
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
423 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
As an offshore low pressure system moves out to sea tonight,
the rainy pattern of the last few days will come to an end. May
see some patchy drizzle and mist lingering tonight, but high
pressure building in Saturday will bring increasing sun and
warmer temperatures. A weak front will move through Sunday, with
little impact other than a few scattered showers. High pressure
then moves into the area Monday, providing quiet weather with
slightly above normal temperatures to start the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 323 AM EDT Saturday...Broad high pressure currently
draped across much of the eastern CONUS will build eastward over
the North Country today and tonight. The result will be drier
and partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will top out in
the upper 40s to lower 50s, with those areas that see sunshine
getting a bit warmer. Clouds will increase overnight into Sunday
as a weak frontal boundary/upper shortwave approach from the
west. These features will bring the chance for scattered showers
to the region Sunday afternoon, though with meager forcing and
moisture, any precipitation will be minimal. The increasing
clouds will keep tonight`s temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.
925mb temperatures are a bit warmer than today, so have gone a
couple degrees warmer than today`s forecasted highs, mainly in
the lower to mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 335 AM EDT Saturday...As aforementioned weak frontal
boundary/upper level shortwave continue to push across the north
country will have a continued chance for light rain showers
during the first part of Sunday night. Drier weather is then
expected for the 2nd half of Sunday night and Monday. Another
ridge of surface high pressure will build over our area from
about 06z Monday and remain through the daylight hours.
Overnight min temps and daytime max temps will both be a few
degrees above seasonal normals during this timeframe. Mins will
range through the 30s and max temps will range through the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 335 AM EDT Saturday...The extended portion of the forecast
trends more active with several systems to move through the
region. Beginning Wednesday and continuing through the rest of
the week, the weather will be active. A low pressure system
tracks north of our forecast area on Wednesday and we`ll have
some light rain and snow showers on Wednesday. Not far behind
this system, another low tracks from the Great Lakes to our
north. A cold front crosses our area late in the day Thursday.
As low very slowly moves eastward, will have continued chances
for precipitation as we remain under cyclonic flow all the way
through Saturday. There is still a lot of uncertainty with
timing and placement of these features. Lots of chance pops
through the whole period, will refine further as we get closer
to next week.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06z Sunday...VFR/MVFR conditions expected through the
period, with the lowest ceilings/visibilities to persist
through 12z Saturday. Clouds are slowly eroding from north to
south, but this will give way to patchy fog and low ceilings,
with local IFR possible. Conditions will improve into the VFR
category between 12z and 18z as areal coverage of clouds
decreases and any fog and precipitation come to an end. North to
northeast winds will remain at 5 kt or less through the period.


Outlook...

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN,
Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Evenson/Hastings