Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 040823 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 423 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020 .SYNOPSIS... As an offshore low pressure system moves out to sea tonight, the rainy pattern of the last few days will come to an end. May see some patchy drizzle and mist lingering tonight, but high pressure building in Saturday will bring increasing sun and warmer temperatures. A weak front will move through Sunday, with little impact other than a few scattered showers. High pressure then moves into the area Monday, providing quiet weather with slightly above normal temperatures to start the work week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 323 AM EDT Saturday...Broad high pressure currently draped across much of the eastern CONUS will build eastward over the North Country today and tonight. The result will be drier and partly to mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures will top out in the upper 40s to lower 50s, with those areas that see sunshine getting a bit warmer. Clouds will increase overnight into Sunday as a weak frontal boundary/upper shortwave approach from the west. These features will bring the chance for scattered showers to the region Sunday afternoon, though with meager forcing and moisture, any precipitation will be minimal. The increasing clouds will keep tonight`s temperatures in the mid to upper 30s. 925mb temperatures are a bit warmer than today, so have gone a couple degrees warmer than today`s forecasted highs, mainly in the lower to mid 50s. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 335 AM EDT Saturday...As aforementioned weak frontal boundary/upper level shortwave continue to push across the north country will have a continued chance for light rain showers during the first part of Sunday night. Drier weather is then expected for the 2nd half of Sunday night and Monday. Another ridge of surface high pressure will build over our area from about 06z Monday and remain through the daylight hours. Overnight min temps and daytime max temps will both be a few degrees above seasonal normals during this timeframe. Mins will range through the 30s and max temps will range through the 50s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 335 AM EDT Saturday...The extended portion of the forecast trends more active with several systems to move through the region. Beginning Wednesday and continuing through the rest of the week, the weather will be active. A low pressure system tracks north of our forecast area on Wednesday and we`ll have some light rain and snow showers on Wednesday. Not far behind this system, another low tracks from the Great Lakes to our north. A cold front crosses our area late in the day Thursday. As low very slowly moves eastward, will have continued chances for precipitation as we remain under cyclonic flow all the way through Saturday. There is still a lot of uncertainty with timing and placement of these features. Lots of chance pops through the whole period, will refine further as we get closer to next week. && .AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Through 06z Sunday...VFR/MVFR conditions expected through the period, with the lowest ceilings/visibilities to persist through 12z Saturday. Clouds are slowly eroding from north to south, but this will give way to patchy fog and low ceilings, with local IFR possible. Conditions will improve into the VFR category between 12z and 18z as areal coverage of clouds decreases and any fog and precipitation come to an end. North to northeast winds will remain at 5 kt or less through the period. Outlook... Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA. Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN, Slight chance SHRA. Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hastings NEAR TERM...Hastings SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...Neiles AVIATION...Evenson/Hastings

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