Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 222011
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area will move offshore Saturday. Warmer
weather is expected Sunday ahead of a cold front, that will
cross the coast during Sunday evening. High pressure will build
in through early next week with chances of rain increasing later
Wednesday into Friday.

Fog potential for tonight...High

NCZ105>110-231215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           60           30           60
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          43           58           53           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8 G20    NE  7        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE  4        S  5         SW 14 G25
Precip amount         0.05         0.03         0.02         0.04
Precip duration       3            2            2            2
Inversion             2100         55/1200      1700         68/1200
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           81           100          57
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1190                      1970
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     SW 25
Ventilation rate                   9520                      49250
ADI early             21 Fair      9 poor       1 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       11 poor      8 poor       43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            7            6
Max LVORI late        5            5            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           60           40           60
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           55           48           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        NE  6        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE  4        S  5         SW 15 G25
Precip amount         0.07         0.04         0.02         0.04
Precip duration       3            2            2            2
Inversion             2100         51/1300      1500         70/1200
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           83           100          49
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          2            2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1120                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     W 30
Ventilation rate                   6720                      95100
ADI early             23 Fair      9 poor       2 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       8 poor       8 poor       73 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            10           6
Max LVORI late        5            6            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
62 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-231215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           30           30           60
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           61           55           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        NE  6        E  3         SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE  4        S  6         SW 14 G25
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.02         0.06
Precip duration       2            2            2            2
Inversion             2100         57/1200      1700         66/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           76           100          56
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1140                      2620
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  3                     W 26
Ventilation rate                   3420                      68120
ADI early             19 Gen poor  9 poor       3 Very poor  36 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       6 Very poor  8 poor       52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            7            8
Max LVORI late        5            5            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           40           60
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           59           52           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        NE  6        E  3         SW 11 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        E  4         S  5         W 14 G23
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.03         0.05
Precip duration       2            2            2            8
Inversion             2100         53/1100      Continued    65/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           78           100          51
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1110                      3290
Transport wnd (mph)                E  5                      W 31
Ventilation rate                   5550                      101990
ADI early             20 Gen poor  9 poor       3 Very poor  47 Gen good
ADI late              7 poor       7 poor       8 poor       74 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            5            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
62 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
311 PM EST Fri Feb 22 2019

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           50           40           60
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           51           47           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        NE  7        E  3         SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE  5        S  5         W 15 G24
Precip amount         0.07         0.04         0.02         0.05
Precip duration       2            2            2            8
Inversion             2100         Continued    Continued    64/1100
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           86           100          46
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                940                       3760
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     W 30
Ventilation rate                   5640                      112800
ADI early             25 Fair      10 poor      3 Very poor  42 Gen good
ADI late              8 poor       8 poor       8 poor       76 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            9            6
Max LVORI late        5            6            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
62 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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