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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 181236
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
836 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Light winds and lower relative humidities will continue today.
Moisture will increase this weekend as showers and thunderstorms
develop and continue through at least the middle of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-190445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
836 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 90 70 94
Max/Min RH (%) 30 91 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 6 SW 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 1900 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 4 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 7300 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 3 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25200 127700
ADI Early 16 Gen poor 42 Gen good 47 Gen good
ADI Late 31 Fair 10 poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-190445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
836 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 92 69 94
Max/Min RH (%) 29 91 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR S 5 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 5 SW 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 4 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 7100 7400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 3 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24500 127700
ADI Early 12 poor 24 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 21 Fair 12 poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-190445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
836 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 91 70 92
Max/Min RH (%) 33 95 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR S 7 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 5 SW 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 3 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 7200 6400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 3 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24800 117800
ADI Early 13 Gen poor 38 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 32 Fair 9 poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-190445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
836 AM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 92 69 93
Max/Min RH (%) 31 95 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 5 SW 9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/1100 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 7300 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 5 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 131000
ADI Early 13 Gen poor 24 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 22 Fair 12 poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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- Page last modified: Jun 8th, 2021 18:51 UTC