Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 230809
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Tropical moisture will be pulled northward, bringing several days of
showers and storms to the eastern Carolinas. Heavy rainfall is
possible, particularly near the coast. The low should weaken
late Wednesday and Thursday with showers and storms becoming
more scattered in coverage through next weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-240015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           80           90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            5            3
Min/Max Temp          87           73           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        SE 11 G24    SE 10 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 12 G24    SE  9        S 11 G23
Precip amount         0.39         0.99         1.12
Precip duration       6            9            10
Inversion             80/1000      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        67           98           73
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4040                      3310
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      S 28
Ventilation rate      88880                     92680
ADI early             47 Gen good  38 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  9 poor       65 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-240015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           80           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          87           73           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        SE  8 G20    SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 11 G21    SE  7        S 10 G20
Precip amount         0.33         0.48         0.65
Precip duration       5            7            9
Inversion             80/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        62           99           67
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4830                      3760
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 23
Ventilation rate      96600                     86480
ADI early             45 Gen good  41 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              59 Gen good  8 poor       64 Good
Max LVORI early       7            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-240015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           70           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          88           72           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        SE  8        SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 11 G21    SE  7        SE  9
Precip amount         0.35         0.27         0.44
Precip duration       5            7            9
Inversion             80/1000      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           99           65
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5160                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 18                     S 18
Ventilation rate      92880                     76680
ADI early             39 Fair      39 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI late              58 Gen good  7 poor       56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-240015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           80           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          88           73           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        SE  9 G21    SE  9 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 11 G23    SE  9        S 12 G24
Precip amount         0.25         0.36         0.40
Precip duration       5            7            9
Inversion             80/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        62           100          64
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4480                      4440
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 21                     S 23
Ventilation rate      94080                     102120
ADI early             46 Gen good  37 Fair      55 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  10 poor      64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           60           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          88           73           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  6        SE  7        SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10 G20    SE  6        SE  9
Precip amount         0.25         0.21         0.32
Precip duration       4            6            3
Inversion             80/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           100          60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5410                      5140
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 21                     S 18
Ventilation rate      113610                    92520
ADI early             67 Good      39 Fair      55 Gen good
ADI late              64 Good      6 Very poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           60           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          89           72           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  6        SE  7        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10 G21    SE  5        SE  8
Precip amount         0.26         0.22         0.37
Precip duration       4            7            6
Inversion             80/1000      2000         79/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           99           59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5440                      4780
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 17                     S 16
Ventilation rate      92480                     76480
ADI early             46 Gen good  36 Fair      47 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  6 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA


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