Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 231905
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023

.DISCUSSION...
A warm southwest flow will be in place the next couple of days. A
cold front will move across the area later in the weekend bringing
the next chance of rainfall. There may be some unsettled weather
next week as well.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-241115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           86           62           84
Max/Min RH (%)        92           42           100          41
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  9 G20    SW  8 G18    SW 10 G21    SW 11 G23
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  8 G18    SW 11 G21    SW  9 G18    SW 15 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         66/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      4800
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 24                     SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 132000                    139200
ADI Early             46 Gen Good  60 Gen Good  44 Gen Good  59 Gen Good
ADI Late              14 Gen Poor  93 Good      17 Gen Poor  80 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            1            5            2
Min VSBY Early        7            6 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       7            7
Turner Stability      D            C            D            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           86           63           84
Max/Min RH (%)        92           38           98           43
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  7 G17    SW  8 G19    S  8 G18     SW 11 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  7        SW 11 G22    S  8 G17     SW 16 G30
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         65/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
DSI                                3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5400                      4700
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 25                     SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 135000                    136300
ADI Early             76 Good      59 Gen Good  80 Good      59 Gen Good
ADI Late              13 Gen Poor  103 Very Good15 Gen Poor  82 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI Late        4            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            D            C

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-241115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           86           62           84
Max/Min RH (%)        94           39           99           45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  7 G19    SW  7        S  9 G20     SW 10 G23
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  7        SW 10 G21    S  8 G17     SW 14 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         66/0900      1800         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Haines Index          5            5            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      5100
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 22                     SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 121000                    132600
ADI Early             67 Good      56 Gen Good  54 Gen Good  64 Good
ADI Late              13 Gen Poor  95 Good      15 Gen Poor  80 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        5            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            6 Rain       7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           86           62           83
Max/Min RH (%)        94           37           97           49
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  6        SW  7 G17    S  8         SW 11 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  6        SW 11 G21    S  8 G17     SW 15 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1800         65/0900      1800         67/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
DSI                                3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5400                      4200
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 23                     SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 124200                    121800
ADI Early             74 Good      59 Gen Good  77 Good      66 Good
ADI Late              13 Gen Poor  100 Good     16 Gen Poor  76 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI Late        5            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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