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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
805
FNUS52 KILM 132049
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure approaching from the Gulf will bring significant rain
Friday into Saturday with several inches of rain possible. High
pressure will build in from the west early next week, remaining over
the Carolinas through Wednesday. Another storm system may affect the
area on Thursday.
Fog potential for tonight...Low.
NCZ105>110-141300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 40 100 90 90
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 44 66 60 69
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 5 E 8 SE 8 SW 6
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 6 SE 9 S 8 SW 5
Precip amount 0.02 1.11 1.42 0.50
Precip duration 1 11 12 7
Inversion 1700 Continued Continued 55/0600
Dispersion Fair Good
Max/Min RH (%) 100 83 98 72
DSI 1 1
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 920 1760
Transport wnd (mph) SE 12 SW 10
Ventilation rate 11040 17600
ADI early 6 Very poor 12 poor 10 poor 10 poor
ADI late 7 poor 13 Gen poor 10 poor 18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early 4 8 6 6
Max LVORI late 8 5 6 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-141300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 50 100 90 90
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 44 64 55 68
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 4 E 7 SE 6 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 6 E 8 S 6 SW 5
Precip amount 0.05 1.43 1.18 0.31
Precip duration 1 12 12 7
Inversion 1700 Continued Continued 64/1000
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 99 72 100 69
DSI 1 1
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 690 2180
Transport wnd (mph) E 10 SW 8
Ventilation rate 6900 17440
ADI early 5 Very poor 10 poor 7 poor 13 Gen poor
ADI late 8 poor 11 poor 8 poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 6 8 8
Max LVORI late 5 5 9 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-141300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 70 100 90 80
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 47 66 60 69
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 6 E 9 G21 SE 7 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 8 SE 8 S 7 SW 6
Precip amount 0.15 1.52 1.03 0.28
Precip duration 1 12 12 7
Inversion 1700 Continued Continued 64/0900
Dispersion Fair Good
Max/Min RH (%) 100 81 99 70
DSI 1 1
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 610 2120
Transport wnd (mph) SE 10 SW 12
Ventilation rate 6100 25440
ADI early 8 poor 13 Gen poor 8 poor 14 Gen poor
ADI late 9 poor 11 poor 8 poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 6 7 6
Max LVORI late 7 5 7 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ033-039-141300-
Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 70 100 90 70
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 47 64 56 69
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 6 E 7 SE 6 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 SE 6 S 6 SW 6
Precip amount 0.25 1.65 1.00 0.22
Precip duration 3 12 12 6
Inversion 1700 Continued Continued 64/1000
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 78 99 69
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 510 2230
Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 SW 14
Ventilation rate 4080 31220
ADI early 7 poor 11 poor 7 poor 14 Gen poor
ADI late 8 poor 9 poor 7 poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 7 8 8
Max LVORI late 8 6 9 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-141300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, and Florence
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 70 100 90 70
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 44 62 53 67
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 5 E 8 SE 6 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 E 7 S 6 SW 5
Precip amount 0.20 1.54 0.93 0.21
Precip duration 2 12 12 6
Inversion 1700 Continued Continued 63/1100
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 72 100 68
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 490 2590
Transport wnd (mph) E 9 SW 16
Ventilation rate 4410 41440
ADI early 6 Very poor 12 poor 6 Very poor 14 Gen poor
ADI late 9 poor 10 poor 6 Very poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 6 9 8
Max LVORI late 5 6 9 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
RGZ
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- Page last modified: Nov 28th, 2018 13:05 UTC