Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210849
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure aloft will meander over the Mid-Atlantic States
today. The low will finally push off the Va Capes and track
northeast, further away from the forecast area Mon. High
pressure will build over the Carolinas from the Gulf Coast
States later today, with it`s center shifting overhead Mon
thru Tue and offshore Wed. The next frontal system will drop
in from the north during the mid to late week period.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-220100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           46           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  4         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/0600      1900         55/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           92           37
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7250                      7550
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      NW  9
Ventilation rate      75040                     69460
ADI early             40 Fair      42 Gen good  53 Gen good
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-220100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           46           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        W  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/800       1900         54/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           93           37
DSI                   3                         4
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7360                      7420
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     NW  8
Ventilation rate      67710                     59730
ADI early             34 Fair      42 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              37 Fair      1 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-220100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           46           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         NW  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/900       1900         53/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           92           37
DSI                   3                         4
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7320                      7320
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     NW  8
Ventilation rate      67340                     58930
ADI early             23 Fair      39 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      1 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-220100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           47           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         NW  4        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      W  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/800       1900         55/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           91           37
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6930                      7010
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     NW  8
Ventilation rate      79700                     56430
ADI early             45 Gen good  44 Gen good  40 Fair
ADI late              53 Gen good  1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           46           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         NW  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/800       1900         54/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           92           36
DSI                   4                         4
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7040                      6960
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NW  8
Ventilation rate      72860                     56030
ADI early             38 Fair      42 Gen good  38 Fair
ADI late              50 Gen good  1 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            7
Max LVORI late        1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
449 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           46           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  4         NW  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/900       1900         53/900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           92           36
DSI                   4                         4
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7200                      7030
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NW  8
Ventilation rate      74520                     56590
ADI early             23 Fair      42 Gen good  33 Fair
ADI late              47 Gen good  1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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