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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 151936
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Warm temperatures will continue through Tuesday ahead of a cold
front. The front may bring a few showers Tuesday and early
Wednesday. Cooler air will move across the area Thursday and
Friday. Temperatures will trend warmer into the weekend ahead of
a frontal passage Saturday night. This front will bring a good
chance of rain for the weekend, with cooling and drying into
early next week.
Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High
NCZ105>110-161145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount MClear PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 20 40 50 40
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 68 83 67 79
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 W 3 E 3 W 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 NW 4 LGT/VAR NW 6
Precip amount 0.01 0.07 0.10 0.09
Precip duration 0 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 75/1000 1900 70/0600
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 98 66 97 49
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3920 4380
Transport wnd (mph) W 8 NW 18
Ventilation rate 31360 78840
ADI early 30 Fair 37 Fair 19 Gen poor 38 Fair
ADI late 3 Very poor 30 Fair 2 Very poor 53 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 8 5 6
Max LVORI late 7 3 7 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-161145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 68 82 65 77
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 N 3 LGT/VAR NW 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.08 0.07
Precip duration 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 73/1000 1900 68/0600
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 97 67 96 50
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3760 4380
Transport wnd (mph) W 8 NW 18
Ventilation rate 30080 78840
ADI early 30 Fair 35 Fair 16 Gen poor 36 Fair
ADI late 3 Very poor 31 Fair 1 Very poor 52 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 9 5 6
Max LVORI late 8 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-161145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 67 81 65 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 LGT/VAR E 3 NW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 N 4 LGT/VAR NW 6
Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.09 0.07
Precip duration 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 72/1000 1900 67/0600
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 96 68 95 50
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3410 4100
Transport wnd (mph) NW 6 NW 20
Ventilation rate 20460 82000
ADI early 29 Fair 13 Gen poor 6 Very poor 35 Fair
ADI late 4 Very poor 16 Gen poor 4 Very poor 54 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 8 5 6
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount MClear PCldy PCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 20 30 40 40
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 68 84 68 81
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 W 3 S 3 W 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 W 4 SW 3 NW 6
Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.03
Precip duration 0 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 75/1000 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Fair Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 97 53
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4070 4670
Transport wnd (mph) W 10 NW 18
Ventilation rate 40700 84060
ADI early 31 Fair 34 Fair 16 Gen poor 30 Fair
ADI late 2 Very poor 32 Fair 3 Very poor 55 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 9 5 7
Max LVORI late 8 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
70 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-161145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 67 84 67 79
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 NW 4 SW 3 N 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.03
Precip duration 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 73/1000 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 66 97 53
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4070 4840
Transport wnd (mph) W 14 NW 17
Ventilation rate 56980 82280
ADI early 30 Fair 14 Gen poor 18 Gen poor 32 Fair
ADI late 2 Very poor 37 Fair 2 Very poor 53 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 10 5 7
Max LVORI late 9 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-161145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 67 82 65 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR E 3 NW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 4 N 4 LGT/VAR N 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.07 0.05
Precip duration 3 4 2
Inversion 1900 72/1000 1900 68/0600
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 68 95 51
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3800 4360
Transport wnd (mph) W 8 NW 18
Ventilation rate 30400 78480
ADI early 36 Fair 8 poor 4 Very poor 35 Fair
ADI late 3 Very poor 20 Gen poor 3 Very poor 52 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 9 6 6
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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