Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 201915
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall near the area through Sunday keeping the
weather unsettled. High pressure builds Monday and Tuesday with a
return to dry conditions. Another cold front is due Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-211115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           90           80           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Showers
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           63           45           65
Max/Min RH (%)        91           81           98           42
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  5        N  6 G17     N  7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      N  9 G19     N  5         NE  8 G18
Precip Amount         0.12         0.22         0.10         0.01
Precip Duration       2            5            7            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         61/0600      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          3            2            3            4
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    1900                      5400
Transport Wind (mph)               N 21                      NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 39900                     75600
ADI Early             30 Fair      29 Fair      40 Fair      64 Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       46 Gen Good  11 Poor      79 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6            5
Max LVORI Late        5            4            6            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       6 Rain       3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            2 Rain       5 Rain
Turner Stability      E            C            D            B

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 86 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           90           80           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Rain         Rain         None
LAL                   4            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           61           45           64
Max/Min RH (%)        90           67           98           36
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  4         N  6 G18     N  4         N  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  4         N  9 G19     Lgt/Var      N  8
Precip Amount         0.06         0.26         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration       2            6            4
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         59/0600      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          3            2            4            4
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    1800                      5700
Transport Wind (mph)               N 22                      N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 39600                     79800
ADI Early             30 Fair      34 Fair      30 Fair      64 Good
ADI Late              9 Poor       48 Gen Good  10 Poor      89 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            3            6            6
Max LVORI Late        5            4            6            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       5 Rain       3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            2 Rain       5 Rain
Turner Stability      E            C            E            B

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-211115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           80           80           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Showers
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           64           46           64
Max/Min RH (%)        93           77           99           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  5        N  5         N  7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      N  8 G18     N  5         NE  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.13         0.17         0.07         0.01
Precip Duration       2            6            7            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         61/0600      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          3            2            3            4
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    1900                      4600
Transport Wind (mph)               N 21                      NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 39900                     69000
ADI Early             39 Fair      27 Fair      43 Gen Good  52 Gen Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       50 Gen Good  11 Poor      58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            6            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       4 Rain       3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            3 Rain       5 Rain
Turner Stability      E            C            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 88 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           90           70           10
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Showers
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           62           45           63
Max/Min RH (%)        90           69           99           45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  6        N  4         N  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      N  8 G17     N  4         NE  7
Precip Amount         0.12         0.16         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       2            7            4            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         60/0600      0100         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          3            2            3            4
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2100                      5200
Transport Wind (mph)               N 20                      NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42000                     72800
ADI Early             55 Gen Good  34 Fair      39 Fair      52 Gen Good
ADI Late              9 Poor       50 Gen Good  11 Poor      76 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            4            7            5
Max LVORI Late        5            4            7            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       4 Rain       3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            3 Rain       6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            C            D            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
315 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           90           70           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         None
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           60           44           64
Max/Min RH (%)        88           67           99           39
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  5         N  8 G17     Lgt/Var      N  7
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  5         N  9 G18     Lgt/Var      NE  7
Precip Amount         0.02         0.20         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       2            7            3
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         58/0600      0200         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Haines Index          3            2            4            4
DSI                                1                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2000                      5600
Transport Wind (mph)               N 20                      N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 40000                     72800
ADI Early             45 Gen Good  35 Fair      30 Fair      62 Good
ADI Late              10 Poor      44 Gen Good  10 Poor      81 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            3            7            5
Max LVORI Late        4            4            7            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       4 Rain       3 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            2 Rain       7
Turner Stability      D            C            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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