Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
045
FNUS52 KILM 180657
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
257 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds in later today through tomorrow, bringing
dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures. The next
cold front will move through Thursday followed by dry but colder
high pressure into late week. Warmer but likely still dry
conditions are then expected this weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-182300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
257 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 68 42 79
Min/Max RH (%) 29 81 26
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0900 1800 65/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 28000
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum
RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-182300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
257 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 70 42 79
Min/Max RH (%) 26 80 25
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0900 1900 64/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 12 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 53300
ADI Early 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-182300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
257 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 70 43 79
Min/Max RH (%) 24 80 25
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/1000 1900 65/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 10 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 37800
ADI Early 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 11 Poor
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-182300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
257 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 71 42 80
Min/Max RH (%) 23 82 23
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/1000 1900 64/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 9 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35100 58800
ADI Early 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 63 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...OLIVA