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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 230809
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Tropical moisture will be pulled northward, bringing several days of
showers and storms to the eastern Carolinas. Heavy rainfall is
possible, particularly near the coast. The low should weaken
late Wednesday and Thursday with showers and storms becoming
more scattered in coverage through next weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.
Fog potential for tonight...none.
NCZ105>110-240015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 70 80 90
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 5 3
Min/Max Temp 87 73 83
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 8 SE 11 G24 SE 10 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 12 G24 SE 9 S 11 G23
Precip amount 0.39 0.99 1.12
Precip duration 6 9 10
Inversion 80/1000 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Good
Max/Min RH (%) 67 98 73
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4040 3310
Transport wnd (mph) S 22 S 28
Ventilation rate 88880 92680
ADI early 47 Gen good 38 Fair 57 Gen good
ADI late 56 Gen good 9 poor 65 Good
Max LVORI early 6 5 7
Max LVORI late 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-240015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 70 80 80
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 4
Min/Max Temp 87 73 85
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 7 SE 8 G20 SE 7
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 11 G21 SE 7 S 10 G20
Precip amount 0.33 0.48 0.65
Precip duration 5 7 9
Inversion 80/1000 2000 79/1100
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 62 99 67
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4830 3760
Transport wnd (mph) S 20 S 23
Ventilation rate 96600 86480
ADI early 45 Gen good 41 Gen good 49 Gen good
ADI late 59 Gen good 8 poor 64 Good
Max LVORI early 7 6 8
Max LVORI late 1 8 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-240015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount PCldy MCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 60 70 80
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 4
Min/Max Temp 88 72 86
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 8 SE 8 SE 7
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 11 G21 SE 7 SE 9
Precip amount 0.35 0.27 0.44
Precip duration 5 7 9
Inversion 80/1000 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 58 99 65
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5160 4260
Transport wnd (mph) SE 18 S 18
Ventilation rate 92880 76680
ADI early 39 Fair 39 Fair 45 Gen good
ADI late 58 Gen good 7 poor 56 Gen good
Max LVORI early 6 5 8
Max LVORI late 1 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-240015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 60 80 80
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 4
Min/Max Temp 88 73 87
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 8 SE 9 G21 SE 9 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 11 G23 SE 9 S 12 G24
Precip amount 0.25 0.36 0.40
Precip duration 5 7 9
Inversion 80/0900 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Good
Max/Min RH (%) 62 100 64
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4480 4440
Transport wnd (mph) SE 21 S 23
Ventilation rate 94080 102120
ADI early 46 Gen good 37 Fair 55 Gen good
ADI late 56 Gen good 10 poor 64 Good
Max LVORI early 6 5 7
Max LVORI late 2 8 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-240015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 50 60 70
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4
Min/Max Temp 88 73 88
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 6 SE 7 SE 6
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 10 G20 SE 6 SE 9
Precip amount 0.25 0.21 0.32
Precip duration 4 6 3
Inversion 80/0900 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 57 100 60
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5410 5140
Transport wnd (mph) SE 21 S 18
Ventilation rate 113610 92520
ADI early 67 Good 39 Fair 55 Gen good
ADI late 64 Good 6 Very poor 60 Gen good
Max LVORI early 8 6 9
Max LVORI late 1 9 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-240015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
409 AM EDT Mon Jul 23 2018
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 60 60 70
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 4
Min/Max Temp 89 72 87
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 6 SE 7 SE 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 10 G21 SE 5 SE 8
Precip amount 0.26 0.22 0.37
Precip duration 4 7 6
Inversion 80/1000 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 54 99 59
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5440 4780
Transport wnd (mph) SE 17 S 16
Ventilation rate 92480 76480
ADI early 46 Gen good 36 Fair 47 Gen good
ADI late 56 Gen good 6 Very poor 50 Gen good
Max LVORI early 7 5 9
Max LVORI late 1 9 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
TRA
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- Page last modified: Jun 28th, 2018 22:08 UTC