Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
000
FNUS52 KILM 240800
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds and rain will develop later today as low pressure to our west
lifts a warm front into the Carolinas. This front should be north of
our area by Tuesday, but a cold front will follow for Wednesday.
High pressure and chillier temperatures will develop Thursday through
the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip chc (%)        60           100          90
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           52           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G20
Precip amount         0.06         0.28         0.30
Precip duration       1            8            5
Inversion             57/1100      1800         63/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           72
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2060                      2440
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  5                     SW 23
Ventilation rate      9480                      56120
ADI early             5 Very poor  4 Very poor  31 Fair
ADI late              13 Gen poor  6 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            6
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until late in the day.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-250000-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip chc (%)        90           100          90
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           51           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  8
Precip amount         0.12         0.36         0.26
Precip duration       3            10           4
Inversion             56/1100      1800         63/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        60           99           75
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1980                      2380
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  3                     SW 18
Ventilation rate      6830                      43790
ADI early             5 Very poor  4 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              11 poor      5 Very poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            8            6
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until early afternoon.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-250000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip chc (%)        90           100          80
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           53           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  4        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  9
Precip amount         0.07         0.28         0.23
Precip duration       4            8            4
Inversion             58/1100      1800         64/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           97           72
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1970                      2150
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      SW 17
Ventilation rate      11330                     37090
ADI early             6 Very poor  5 Very poor  36 Fair
ADI late              14 Gen poor  8 poor       40 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            5
Max LVORI late        5            6            3

Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until early afternoon.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        90           100          80
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           52           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  8
Precip amount         0.13         0.41         0.20
Precip duration       6            9            4
Inversion             57/1100      1700         65/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        60           98           71
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1450                      2450
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      SW 18
Ventilation rate      6670                      45080
ADI early             3 Very poor  5 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       7 poor       44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            6
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-250000-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip chc (%)        90           100          80
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           50           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  4        S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  9
Precip amount         0.15         0.55         0.23
Precip duration       4            12           4
Inversion             55/1100      1800         63/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           97           74
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1550                      2510
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      SW 20
Ventilation rate      8910                      49070
ADI early             5 Very poor  6 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              10 poor      8 poor       47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            7            6
Max LVORI late        5            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          80
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           50           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        S  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  8
Precip amount         0.17         0.60         0.21
Precip duration       6            12           3
Inversion             55/1100      1800         64/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        58           99           72
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1390                      2680
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      SW 18
Ventilation rate      6390                      49310
ADI early             2 Very poor  5 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       8 poor       45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            9            6
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.