Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
000
FNUS52 KILM 140824
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...
A wave of low pressure slides off to the Northeast today with breezy
winds left in its wake. High pressure and light winds then return
for Sunday into Monday. The next chance for unsettled weather arrives
Tuesday with an approaching cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-150030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        70           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           39           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  9         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11 G20     W  5         W  5
Precip amount         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             57/1000      1700         47/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        68           92           46
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3500                      3270
Transport wnd (mph)   W 23                      W 12
Ventilation rate      80500                     37610
ADI early             24 Fair      10 poor      41 Gen good
ADI late              57 Gen good  4 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
76 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-150030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           38           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  8         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11         W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             54/1000      1700         48/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        69           95           48
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3390                      3270
Transport wnd (mph)   W 25                      W 12
Ventilation rate      85770                     37610
ADI early             28 Fair      12 poor      25 Fair
ADI late              62 Good      3 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            7
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance
of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Much cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-150030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           38           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  8         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 12 G20     W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             50/0600      1700         48/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        67           92           48
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3520                      2890
Transport wnd (mph)   W 26                      W 12
Ventilation rate      93100                     33240
ADI early             31 Fair      13 Gen poor  21 Fair
ADI late              67 Good      3 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
78 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-150030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           39           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         W  8         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11 G20     W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             54/1000      1700         47/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        65           94           47
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3490                      3270
Transport wnd (mph)   W 25                      W 10
Ventilation rate      88300                     33840
ADI early             31 Fair      11 poor      26 Fair
ADI late              67 Good      4 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Much cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-150030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           38           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         W  8         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11 G20     W  5         SW  5
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             50/0900      1700         49/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           96           45
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3650                      3170
Transport wnd (mph)   W 25                      W  9
Ventilation rate      92340                     29160
ADI early             35 Fair      11 poor      21 Fair
ADI late              68 Good      3 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            7
Max LVORI late        3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Much cooler. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-150030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
324 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           37           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  7         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W 11 G20     W  4         SW  5
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             49/0900      1700         49/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        64           94           47
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3540                      3010
Transport wnd (mph)   W 24                      W  9
Ventilation rate      85490                     27690
ADI early             35 Fair      12 poor      18 Gen poor
ADI late              63 Good      3 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Much colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
79 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.