Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 132049
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure approaching from the Gulf will bring significant rain
Friday into Saturday with several inches of rain possible. High
pressure will build in from the west early next week, remaining over
the Carolinas through Wednesday. Another storm system may affect the
area on Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-141300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           100          90           90
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          44           66           60           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  8         SE  8        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         SE  9        S  8         SW  5
Precip amount         0.02         1.11         1.42         0.50
Precip duration       1            11           12           7
Inversion             1700         Continued    Continued    55/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          83           98           72
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                920                       1760
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SW 10
Ventilation rate                   11040                     17600
ADI early             6 Very poor  12 poor      10 poor      10 poor
ADI late              7 poor       13 Gen poor  10 poor      18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            8            6            6
Max LVORI late        8            5            6            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-141300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           100          90           90
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          44           64           55           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         E  7         SE  6        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E  8         S  6         SW  5
Precip amount         0.05         1.43         1.18         0.31
Precip duration       1            12           12           7
Inversion             1700         Continued    Continued    64/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           72           100          69
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                690                       2180
Transport wnd (mph)                E 10                      SW  8
Ventilation rate                   6900                      17440
ADI early             5 Very poor  10 poor      7 poor       13 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       11 poor      8 poor       24 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            8            8
Max LVORI late        5            5            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-141300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           100          90           80
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          47           66           60           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  9 G21     SE  7        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         SE  8        S  7         SW  6
Precip amount         0.15         1.52         1.03         0.28
Precip duration       1            12           12           7
Inversion             1700         Continued    Continued    64/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          81           99           70
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                610                       2120
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   6100                      25440
ADI early             8 poor       13 Gen poor  8 poor       14 Gen poor
ADI late              9 poor       11 poor      8 poor       28 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            7            6
Max LVORI late        7            5            7            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ033-039-141300-
Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           100          90           70
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          47           64           56           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  7         SE  6        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         SE  6        S  6         SW  6
Precip amount         0.25         1.65         1.00         0.22
Precip duration       3            12           12           6
Inversion             1700         Continued    Continued    64/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          78           99           69
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                510                       2230
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 14
Ventilation rate                   4080                      31220
ADI early             7 poor       11 poor      7 poor       14 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       9 poor       7 poor       39 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            8            8
Max LVORI late        8            6            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-141300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, and Florence
349 PM EST Thu Dec 13 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           100          90           70
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          44           62           53           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  8         SE  6        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         E  7         S  6         SW  5
Precip amount         0.20         1.54         0.93         0.21
Precip duration       2            12           12           6
Inversion             1700         Continued    Continued    63/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          72           100          68
DSI                                1                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                490                       2590
Transport wnd (mph)                E  9                      SW 16
Ventilation rate                   4410                      41440
ADI early             6 Very poor  12 poor      6 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              9 poor       10 poor      6 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            9            8
Max LVORI late        5            6            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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