Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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090
FNUS52 KILM 261937
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
337 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain will lead to increased chances for fog tonight. Rain
chances decrease Saturday as a front moves south of the area.
High pressure will ridge across the area from the north during
Sunday and Monday supporting dry weather. Unsettled weather will
possibly return by mid next week.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-271145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
337 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     90           40           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            3            2            1
Min/Max Temp          71           85           64           89
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          44
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  6        NE  4        N  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  8 G17    Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.59         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       5            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         73/0600      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4            5
DSI                                2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5200                      6200
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 20                     NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 104000                    80600
ADI Early             14 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good  66 Good      65 Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       99 Good      5 Very Poor  87 Good
Max LVORI Early       7            8            5            8
Max LVORI Late        8            3            6            1
Min VSBY Early        3 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
337 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     60           20           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      None         None
LAL                   4            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           86           64           89
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           99           43
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NE  6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.25         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       3            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         72/0600      2000         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4            5
DSI                                2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5200                      6300
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 17                     NE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 88400                     56700
ADI Early             17 Gen Poor  56 Gen Good  63 Good      65 Good
ADI Late              8 Poor       97 Good      5 Very Poor  92 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            8            5            9
Max LVORI Late        9            3            8            1
Min VSBY Early        4 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-271145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
337 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     80           30           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            3            2            1
Min/Max Temp          72           86           65           89
Max/Min RH (%)        99           62           100          45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  7        Lgt/Var      NE  4
Precip Amount         0.47         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         73/0600      2000         74/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4            5
DSI                                2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4300                      5900
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 15                     NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 64500                     82600
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good  47 Gen Good  67 Good
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  92 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            8            5            9
Max LVORI Late        9            3            8            1
Min VSBY Early        4 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            C            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
337 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     50           0            0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   4            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          71           87           65           89
Max/Min RH (%)        100          59           100          45
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE  6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.25         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         73/0800      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
DSI                                2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4800                      6000
Transport Wind (mph)               NE 15                     NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 72000                     60000
ADI Early             20 Gen Poor  50 Gen Good  58 Gen Good  58 Gen Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       79 Good      4 Very Poor  91 Good
Max LVORI Early       8            8            6            9
Max LVORI Late        9            3            9            1
Min VSBY Early        5 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...LEW