Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 151901
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore through Monday. Warmer temperatures
are on tap later this weekend into the upcoming week. In addition,
moisture will gradually increase next week with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms. A cold front could pass through the area late in
the upcoming week.

Fog potential for tonight is low.

NCZ105>110-161115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          62           89           70           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  8         SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             2000         71/0800      2000         73/0600
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          47           94           55
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7010                      7280
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   96740                     108840
ADI early             46 Gen good  37 Fair      51 Gen good  50 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  51 Gen good  3 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       4            9            4            7
Max LVORI late        8            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-161115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          63           90           70           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         73/0900      2000         73/0700
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          45           94           52
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6840                      7070
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   102260                    81310
ADI early             47 Gen good  49 Gen good  65 Good      42 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  70 Good      2 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       4            10           4            7
Max LVORI late        9            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-161115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          64           91           70           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  4        S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  7        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1900         69/0800      1900         74/0700
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          43           92           50
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6530                      7970
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   112640                    119150
ADI early             42 Gen good  52 Gen good  68 Good      44 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  82 Good      4 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       3            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-161115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          63           89           70           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  4        S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2000         73/0900      2000         73/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           96           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7210                      7600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     S 13
Ventilation rate                   82920                     96140
ADI early             44 Gen good  36 Fair      47 Gen good  42 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  53 Gen good  2 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       5            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        9            1            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-161115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          63           90           69           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  4        S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1900         73/0900      1900         73/0700
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          46           97           53
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7350                      7340
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 10
Ventilation rate                   84530                     75970
ADI early             42 Gen good  42 Gen good  57 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  65 Good      3 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            10           4            8
Max LVORI late        10           1            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-161115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            30
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          63           91           70           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  3        S  7         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         SW  7        SW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             1900         69/0800      1900         73/0700
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           42           94           49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7110                      8080
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     S 14
Ventilation rate                   114470                    111500
ADI early             43 Gen good  51 Gen good  62 Good      43 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  78 Good      4 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       3            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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