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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 151901
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore through Monday. Warmer temperatures
are on tap later this weekend into the upcoming week. In addition,
moisture will gradually increase next week with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms. A cold front could pass through the area late in
the upcoming week.
Fog potential for tonight is low.
NCZ105>110-161115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear MClear MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 62 89 70 91
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 LGT/VAR S 7 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 S 8 SW 5 SW 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 1
Inversion 2000 71/0800 2000 73/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 94 55
DSI 3 2
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7010 7280
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 15
Ventilation rate 96740 108840
ADI early 46 Gen good 37 Fair 51 Gen good 50 Gen good
ADI late 1 Very poor 51 Gen good 3 Very poor 72 Good
Max LVORI early 4 9 4 7
Max LVORI late 8 1 6 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-161115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear MClear MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 63 90 70 91
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR S 6 SW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SW 6 SW 4 SW 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 1
Inversion 1900 73/0900 2000 73/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 94 52
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6840 7070
Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 12
Ventilation rate 102260 81310
ADI early 47 Gen good 49 Gen good 65 Good 42 Gen good
ADI late 2 Very poor 70 Good 2 Very poor 72 Good
Max LVORI early 4 10 4 7
Max LVORI late 9 1 7 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-161115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear MClear MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 64 91 70 92
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 SW 4 S 7 SW 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 SW 7 SW 5 SW 6
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 1
Inversion 1900 69/0800 1900 74/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 43 92 50
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6530 7970
Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 15
Ventilation rate 112640 119150
ADI early 42 Gen good 52 Gen good 68 Good 44 Gen good
ADI late 3 Very poor 82 Good 4 Very poor 75 Good
Max LVORI early 3 9 4 6
Max LVORI late 7 1 6 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear MClear MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 63 89 70 90
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 6 LGT/VAR S 7 SW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 7 SW 4 S 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 2
Inversion 2000 73/0900 2000 73/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 49 96 57
DSI 3 2
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7210 7600
Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 S 13
Ventilation rate 82920 96140
ADI early 44 Gen good 36 Fair 47 Gen good 42 Gen good
ADI late 2 Very poor 53 Gen good 2 Very poor 61 Good
Max LVORI early 5 10 5 7
Max LVORI late 9 1 7 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-161115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear MClear MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 63 90 69 91
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 LGT/VAR S 6 SW 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR SW 5 SW 4 S 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 2
Inversion 1900 73/0900 1900 73/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 46 97 53
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 4 3 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7350 7340
Transport wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 10
Ventilation rate 84530 75970
ADI early 42 Gen good 42 Gen good 57 Gen good 41 Gen good
ADI late 2 Very poor 65 Good 3 Very poor 56 Gen good
Max LVORI early 4 10 4 8
Max LVORI late 10 1 8 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-161115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
301 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud amount MClear PCldy MClear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 63 91 70 92
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 5 SW 3 S 7 SW 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 2
Inversion 1900 69/0800 1900 73/0700
Dispersion Poor Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 99 42 94 49
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 7110 8080
Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 S 14
Ventilation rate 114470 111500
ADI early 43 Gen good 51 Gen good 62 Good 43 Gen good
ADI late 2 Very poor 78 Good 4 Very poor 70 Good
Max LVORI early 3 9 4 6
Max LVORI late 7 1 6 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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- Page last modified: Apr 16th, 2019 21:10 UTC