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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 072046
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Center of high pressure will reach the Eastern Carolinas Mon thru Mon
night and slowly drift off the Carolina Coasts and offshore during
the mid to late week period. Minimum RH for the next several days
will drop into the 20s. A gradual warming trend is expected during
the mid to late week period along with moderating Min RHs.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-081300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 27 60 32 67
Max/Min RH (%) 73 25 80 25
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR NW 3 LGT/VAR SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36200 26500
ADI Early 8 poor 30 Fair 1 Very poor 14 Gen poor
ADI Late 1 Very poor 34 Fair 1 Very poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 4 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-081300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 27 60 33 67
Max/Min RH (%) 69 23 78 26
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR NW 3 LGT/VAR SW 3
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 6 4 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4100 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42400 35400
ADI Early 7 poor 34 Fair 1 Very poor 19 Gen poor
ADI Late 1 Very poor 41 Gen good 1 Very poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-081300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 27 61 33 68
Max/Min RH (%) 65 22 74 28
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR N 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR NW 3 LGT/VAR SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 6 4 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3800 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26200 38600
ADI Early 6 Very poor 38 Fair 1 Very poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 1 Very poor 44 Gen good 1 Very poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 3 2 3
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-081300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 28 60 33 66
Max/Min RH (%) 67 25 80 26
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR N 3 LGT/VAR S 3
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 6 4 4 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4000 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SW 5
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 20200
ADI Early 9 poor 35 Fair 1 Very poor 11 poor
ADI Late 1 Very poor 44 Gen good 1 Very poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-081300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 27 61 32 67
Max/Min RH (%) 66 23 82 25
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR N 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3800 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26200 30400
ADI Early 7 poor 35 Fair 1 Very poor 16 Gen poor
ADI Late 1 Very poor 48 Gen good 1 Very poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 3 3 5
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-081300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
346 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 27 62 33 68
Max/Min RH (%) 66 22 77 27
Wind20ft/Early (mph) LGT/VAR N 3 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Wind20ft/Late (mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 None 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3800 4300
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 21900 39600
ADI Early 5 Very poor 37 Fair 1 Very poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 1 Very poor 51 Gen good 1 Very poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 2 3 2 4
Max LVORI Late 3 2 4 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch
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- Page last modified: Feb 1st, 2021 20:13 UTC