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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 241913
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
.DISCUSSION...
Weak low pressure will move across the area this evening bringing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. An upper level low
will produce showers on Wednesday. Weak cold front early Thursday
and again Saturday will bring a chance for more showers. Seasonable
temperatures are expected through the week and into the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight...Low inland, moderate at the coast.
NCZ105>110-251115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip chc (%) 40 30 0 20
Precip type Tstms Showers None Showers
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 57 76 55 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 SW 6 W 6 N 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 SW 9 NW 3 SE 5
Precip amount 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip duration 1 1 0
Inversion 2000 64/0900 2000 65/1000
Dispersion Fair Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 51 94 47
DSI 3 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5900 5340
Transport wnd (mph) W 14 S 13
Ventilation rate 82600 69420
ADI early 66 Good 36 Fair 42 Gen good 8 poor
ADI late 5 Very poor 62 Good 3 Very poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI early 6 9 5 7
Max LVORI late 9 1 6 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-251115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip chc (%) 40 20 0 20
Precip type Tstms Showers None Showers
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 57 77 55 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 7 SW 7 W 6 N 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 W 8 NW 3 S 5
Precip amount 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.03
Precip duration 1 1 0
Inversion 2000 62/0900 2000 64/1000
Dispersion Fair Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 97 48 93 45
DSI 3 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6140 5780
Transport wnd (mph) W 13 S 12
Ventilation rate 79820 69360
ADI early 72 Good 35 Fair 43 Gen good 8 poor
ADI late 5 Very poor 61 Good 3 Very poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI early 6 6 4 7
Max LVORI late 7 1 6 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-251115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 56 78 56 76
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 W 7 W 6 NE 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 6 W 9 NW 4 SE 6
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip duration 0
Inversion 2000 63/0900 2000 66/1000
Dispersion Fair Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 92 49
DSI 3 2
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6550 5520
Transport wnd (mph) W 13 S 13
Ventilation rate 85150 71760
ADI early 61 Good 36 Fair 43 Gen good 15 Gen poor
ADI late 5 Very poor 59 Gen good 3 Very poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI early 5 6 4 6
Max LVORI late 6 1 5 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-251115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 56 78 55 76
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 W 7 W 6 NE 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 7 W 9 NW 3 SE 5
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip duration 0
Inversion 2000 62/0900 2000 65/1000
Dispersion Fair Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 93 45
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 4 3 4 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6780 5640
Transport wnd (mph) W 14 S 10
Ventilation rate 94920 56400
ADI early 75 Good 35 Fair 45 Gen good 17 Gen poor
ADI late 7 poor 62 Good 3 Very poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI early 5 9 4 6
Max LVORI late 7 1 6 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-251115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy
Precip chc (%) 20 20 0 20
Precip type Tstms Showers None Showers
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 56 78 55 76
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 W 7 NW 6 NE 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 6 W 8 N 4 S 5
Precip amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip duration 0 1 0
Inversion 2000 61/0900 2000 64/1000
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 99 46 91 45
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6880 5810
Transport wnd (mph) W 13 S 10
Ventilation rate 89440 58100
ADI early 78 Good 33 Fair 46 Gen good 15 Gen poor
ADI late 6 Very poor 59 Gen good 4 Very poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 6
Max LVORI late 6 1 5 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
17
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- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC