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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 231905
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023
.DISCUSSION...
A warm southwest flow will be in place the next couple of days. A
cold front will move across the area later in the weekend bringing
the next chance of rainfall. There may be some unsettled weather
next week as well.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-241115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 86 62 84
Max/Min RH (%) 92 42 100 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 9 G20 SW 8 G18 SW 10 G21 SW 11 G23
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 11 G21 SW 9 G18 SW 15 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 66/0900 1800 68/0900
Dispersion Good Good
Haines Index 5 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 132000 139200
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 44 Gen Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 93 Good 17 Gen Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-241115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 86 63 84
Max/Min RH (%) 92 38 98 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 8 G19 S 8 G18 SW 11 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 11 G22 S 8 G17 SW 16 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 65/0900 1800 68/0900
Dispersion Good Good
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 25 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 135000 136300
ADI Early 76 Good 59 Gen Good 80 Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 103 Very Good15 Gen Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-241115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 86 62 84
Max/Min RH (%) 94 39 99 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 7 S 9 G20 SW 10 G23
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 10 G21 S 8 G17 SW 14 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 66/0900 1800 67/0900
Dispersion Fair Good
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 121000 132600
ADI Early 67 Good 56 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 64 Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 95 Good 15 Gen Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
305 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2023
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 58 86 62 83
Max/Min RH (%) 94 37 97 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G17 S 8 SW 11 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 11 G21 S 8 G17 SW 15 G26
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 65/0900 1800 67/0900
Dispersion Fair Good
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124200 121800
ADI Early 74 Good 59 Gen Good 77 Good 66 Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 100 Good 16 Gen Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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