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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 240800
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
.DISCUSSION...
Clouds and rain will develop later today as low pressure to our west
lifts a warm front into the Carolinas. This front should be north of
our area by Tuesday, but a cold front will follow for Wednesday.
High pressure and chillier temperatures will develop Thursday through
the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip chc (%) 60 100 90
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 52 70
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 SW 8
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 SW 9 G20
Precip amount 0.06 0.28 0.30
Precip duration 1 8 5
Inversion 57/1100 1800 63/1000
Dispersion Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 59 99 72
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 2 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2060 2440
Transport wnd (mph) SE 5 SW 23
Ventilation rate 9480 56120
ADI early 5 Very poor 4 Very poor 31 Fair
ADI late 13 Gen poor 6 Very poor 48 Gen good
Max LVORI early 5 8 6
Max LVORI late 5 8 3
Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until late in the day.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-250000-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip chc (%) 90 100 90
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 51 69
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 4 SW 8
Precip amount 0.12 0.36 0.26
Precip duration 3 10 4
Inversion 56/1100 1800 63/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 60 99 75
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1980 2380
Transport wnd (mph) SW 3 SW 18
Ventilation rate 6830 43790
ADI early 5 Very poor 4 Very poor 24 Fair
ADI late 11 poor 5 Very poor 47 Gen good
Max LVORI early 4 8 6
Max LVORI late 5 8 3
Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until early afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
68 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-250000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip chc (%) 90 100 80
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 61 53 71
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 4 SW 8
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 9
Precip amount 0.07 0.28 0.23
Precip duration 4 8 4
Inversion 58/1100 1800 64/1000
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 63 97 72
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1970 2150
Transport wnd (mph) W 6 SW 17
Ventilation rate 11330 37090
ADI early 6 Very poor 5 Very poor 36 Fair
ADI late 14 Gen poor 8 poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI early 6 7 5
Max LVORI late 5 6 3
Remarks...Rain chances shouldn`t develop until early afternoon.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy
Precip chc (%) 90 100 80
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 52 71
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 SW 8
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 SW 8
Precip amount 0.13 0.41 0.20
Precip duration 6 9 4
Inversion 57/1100 1700 65/1100
Dispersion Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 60 98 71
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1450 2450
Transport wnd (mph) S 5 SW 18
Ventilation rate 6670 45080
ADI early 3 Very poor 5 Very poor 22 Fair
ADI late 7 poor 7 poor 44 Gen good
Max LVORI early 5 8 6
Max LVORI late 5 8 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-250000-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip chc (%) 90 100 80
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 56 50 69
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 4 S 8
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 7 SW 9
Precip amount 0.15 0.55 0.23
Precip duration 4 12 4
Inversion 55/1100 1800 63/1100
Dispersion Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 58 97 74
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 3 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1550 2510
Transport wnd (mph) W 6 SW 20
Ventilation rate 8910 49070
ADI early 5 Very poor 6 Very poor 21 Fair
ADI late 10 poor 8 poor 47 Gen good
Max LVORI early 3 7 6
Max LVORI late 5 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Much colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
64 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
300 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip chc (%) 100 100 80
Precip type Rain Rain Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 56 50 70
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 S 8
Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 8
Precip amount 0.17 0.60 0.21
Precip duration 6 12 3
Inversion 55/1100 1800 64/1100
Dispersion Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 58 99 72
DSI 1 2
Haines Index 3 2 2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1390 2680
Transport wnd (mph) S 5 SW 18
Ventilation rate 6390 49310
ADI early 2 Very poor 5 Very poor 21 Fair
ADI late 8 poor 8 poor 45 Gen good
Max LVORI early 3 9 6
Max LVORI late 5 8 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
TRA
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- Page last modified: Feb 14th, 2020 19:38 UTC