Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 151936
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Warm temperatures will continue through Tuesday ahead of a cold
front. The front may bring a few showers Tuesday and early
Wednesday. Cooler air will move across the area Thursday and
Friday. Temperatures will trend warmer into the weekend ahead of
a frontal passage Saturday night. This front will bring a good
chance of rain for the weekend, with cooling and drying into
early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High

NCZ105>110-161145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           50           40
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          68           83           67           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         W  3         E  3         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        NW  4        LGT/VAR      NW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.10         0.09
Precip duration       0            3            4            2
Inversion             1900         75/1000      1900         70/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           66           97           49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3920                      4380
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   31360                     78840
ADI early             30 Fair      37 Fair      19 Gen poor  38 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  30 Fair      2 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-161145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          68           82           65           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        N  3         LGT/VAR      NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.08         0.07
Precip duration                    3            4            2
Inversion             1900         73/1000      1900         68/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           67           96           50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3760                      4380
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   30080                     78840
ADI early             30 Fair      35 Fair      16 Gen poor  36 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  31 Fair      1 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        8            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-161145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          67           81           65           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         LGT/VAR      E  3         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        N  4         LGT/VAR      NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.09         0.07
Precip duration                    3            4            2
Inversion             1900         72/1000      1900         67/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           68           95           50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3410                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   20460                     82000
ADI early             29 Fair      13 Gen poor  6 Very poor  35 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  16 Gen poor  4 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            5            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-161145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           40           40
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          68           84           68           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         W  3         S  3         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         W  4         SW  3        NW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.06         0.03
Precip duration       0            3            4            2
Inversion             1900         75/1000      1900         72/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           65           97           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4070                      4670
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   40700                     84060
ADI early             31 Fair      34 Fair      16 Gen poor  30 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  32 Fair      3 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        8            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
70 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-161145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          67           84           67           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         NW  4        SW  3        N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.05         0.03
Precip duration                    3            4            2
Inversion             1900         73/1000      1900         70/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           66           97           53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4070                      4840
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      NW 17
Ventilation rate                   56980                     82280
ADI early             30 Fair      14 Gen poor  18 Gen poor  32 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      2 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           5            7
Max LVORI late        9            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-161145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
336 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          67           82           65           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      E  3         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        N  4         LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.07         0.05
Precip duration                    3            4            2
Inversion             1900         72/1000      1900         68/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           68           95           51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3800                      4360
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   30400                     78480
ADI early             36 Fair      8 poor       4 Very poor  35 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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