Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000
FXUS61 KILN 270819
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
419 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and humid conditions will continue through the end of the
week with a few afternoon and evening thunderstorms possible
each day. A front will drop into the area on Sunday bringing a
better chance of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Mid level shear axis extending from southern Michigan into
western Kentucky will drop southeast into the forecast area
today. This will likely be enough to result in isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms from mid afternoon on into
the early evening. There will be plenty of high clouds
associated with this feature resulting in filtered sunshine
today. Temperatures will near persistence.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
Remaining convection will diminish early in the period. Shear
axis is forecast to weaken. Thus, it looks like there will be
less forcing heading into Friday. Still cannot rule out some
isolated storms during the heat of the day. Lows will be in the
upper 60s with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High temperatures through the long term will generally be in the 80s
with a few 90 degree readings possible on Saturday.  Low
temperatures will generally be in the upper 60s to low 70s with a
few mid 60s readings possible Sunday night.  Made only minor changes
to the temperatures from the blend for the long term.

A few pop up afternoon thunderstorms will be possible across
northern portions of the region on Saturday.  On Sunday a frontal
boundary will move into the area allowing for a little higher
precipitation chances especially across central Ohio.  Working into
next week there will be thunderstorm chances each day with a
northwest flow aloft pattern.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High clouds will persist across the area through much of the
period. Some cumulus will form during the day and then diminish
in the evening. An isolated thunderstorm is possible during the
heat of the day, but probability is much too low to include a
mention in the TAFs. Some visibility restrictions will be
possible towards 12Z in mist/fog.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...


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