


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --828 FXUS61 KILN 180203 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1003 PM EDT Sat May 17 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build across the area for the beginning of the week. A large upper level low pressure system will move in towards the middle of the week bringing cool, unsettled conditions. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...-- Changed Discussion --Stratocu field will linger in portions of our CWA tonight. Stronger wind gusts will begin to subside during the early part of the night, but a sustained west-northwesterly wind around 10 mph persists overnight. Cooler and drier air mass remain in place, allow for overnight lows to sink into the lower 50s and perhaps some upper 40s.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Surface high pressure will build in and heights aloft will slowly build as well. Diurnal cumulus will still occur, especially from west central into central Ohio, but will not be as extensive as today. Then some cirrus will start to spill into the area on Sunday night. Temperatures will be near normal. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Showers will move across southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and southwest Ohio on Monday. There will be a lull in the precipitation activity Monday evening before a low pressure system brings showers and thunderstorms to the region late Monday night through Tuesday night. There is the potential that some of the storms across southwestern portions of the region could reach strong to severe levels on Tuesday, however confidence was not high enough to include in the HWO at this time. Several additional disturbances work through the region Wednesday through Saturday keeping precipitation chances in the forecast during this time. After thunder chances during the day on Wednesday, not expecting a lot in terms of thunder for the remainder of the long term with a cooler temperature pattern. && .AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR conditions persist through the taf period. Cu field will break apart tonight, but additional cu development expected on Sunday. Gusts subside after the first hour or two of the taf period. Winds generally remain out of the west north west tonight and Sunday. OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities are possible on Wednesday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM...Clark SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...Clark