Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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693 FXUS62 KJAX 190733 AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 333 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN SUWANNEE VALLEY... .Near Term...Today and Tonight...Weak surface wave over the Fl panhandle/sw Ga will bring a chance of locally heavy rainfall to the Suwannee Valley and interior se Ga today. PWATs near 2.3 may result in localized flooding as the wave shifts to the ne. The east coast seabreeze will push inland with scattered storms expected over ne Fl by late afternoon mainly east of Highway 301. .Short Term...Tuesday through Thursday night...Weak surface low and mid level low will track ne across central Ga on Tuesday. This will continue the chance for heavy rainfall over parts of interior se Ga as PWATs remain near 2.2 inches. Deep-layered ridging will build across the area Wednesday and Thursday pushing the weakening surface low northeastward into the Carolinas. A light pressure pattern with high moisture levels over the area will continue scattered to possibly numerous showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon/evening hours. .LONG TERM...Thursday through Sunday...Deep ridge will be to the south of the area as an upper trough digs se from the Great Lakes into the northeast and then off the ne coast by the weekend. A moist light sw flow will persist across our area with daily convection expected as the seabreezes move inland. Temperatures and pops will be at or slightly above average. && .AVIATION...VFR ceilings expected to continue this morning with mid and high clouds across the area. A short wave trough moving north of the forecast area will kick of some thunderstorm activity between 18:00-24:00 UTC. Will keep a PROB30 group in for that period at all of the stations with ceilings of 5-6 KFT with the convection. && .MARINE...Weak low pressure over will meander over western Georgia through Tuesday. The axis of Atlantic ridging will slowly lift northward from a position across central Florida early this week to the northeast Florida waters by midweek. A frontal boundary will then move into the southeastern states from the north late this week and is expected to stall just north of the Georgia waters by next weekend. Rip Currents: Low risk today and Tuesday with offshore winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 85 72 89 71 / 60 40 40 20 SSI 86 75 88 76 / 40 40 20 20 JAX 89 74 91 74 / 30 30 20 20 SGJ 89 74 89 74 / 20 10 20 20 GNV 88 72 91 73 / 20 0 40 40 OCF 90 72 91 73 / 20 20 40 50 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && $$ Zibura/Sandrik/

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