Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000 FXUS62 KJAX 031927 AFDJAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 327 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 .Near Term.../through Thursday/... A disturbance in a 500mb trough will pivot east northeast across the region Tonight through Thursday. The combination of increasing moisture due to southerly flow, and the lift provided by the disturbance will result in showers and storms. This activity is expected to start across southern counties this evening, then spread across the area Tonight and through the day on Thursday. While overnight lows will be seasonal Tonight, the rain and clouds will keep readings below normal on Thursday, with highs in the lower 80s expected. && .Short Term.../Thursday night through Sunday/... Short wave energy in base of upper trough will be to the northeast by Thursday night. Surface high pressure will be east southeast of the region Thursday night through Friday night. This pattern will keep moisture across the region, with diurnal instability leading to best convective chances during daytime Friday. The high will move further to the east Saturday into Sunday. Moisture is expected to stream northeastward toward the region from the east side of the gulf tropical system, with showers and storms becoming numerous over the weekend. Temperatures will trend near normal at night, with highs a little below normal this period, due to expected cloud and precipitation coverage. && .Long Term.../Sunday night through Wednesday/... Surface high pressure will be east northeast of the region this period. The region will be between the high and the tropical system to the west early this period. With moisture to the east of the tropical system still affecting region early in the period, precipiation chances will remain higher than normal. For Tuesday through Wednesday, convection will largely be diurnally driven with a more typical summer time pattern expected. Lows will trend a little above normal this period, due to expected cloud cover reducing radiative cooling. Highs will trend below normal early in the period, then back to near normal later in the period. && .Marine... High pressure will be east of the region through Friday. The region will be between high pressure to the east northeast, and a tropical system over the gulf over the weekend. Rip Currents: SE GA: Low risk Thursday NE FL: Moderate risk Thursday && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 69 83 70 86 70 / 20 50 40 60 30 SSI 73 78 72 83 73 / 40 60 60 60 40 JAX 71 83 70 85 72 / 50 60 60 70 40 SGJ 71 80 70 84 71 / 70 80 70 70 40 GNV 69 81 70 83 70 / 60 60 70 80 50 OCF 71 81 70 84 70 / 70 70 70 80 60 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&

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