839
FXUS64 KMAF 062026
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
226 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

.DISCUSSION...
A high pressure ridge is located across the Permian Basin this
afternoon and will move southeast overnight allowing winds to
shift back from the southeast tomorrow. This will cause
temperatures to warm back above normal creating a pleasant weekend
with highs in the 60s and 70s.

Then clouds and rain chances increase Monday ahead of an upper
trough moving along the U.S. and Mexico border that will push a
cold front through Monday night. Models are showing a prefrontal
trough will bring a northwesterly or northerly wind shift ahead of
the cold front earlier in the day, but the strong cold air
advection will not arrive until sunset or later. Lift from an
associated upper jet max will enhance lift spreading showers
eastward ahead of the front, with more widespread light rain
behind the front. Fortunately temperatures will be above freezing
in most locations so wintry precip should not be an issue except
perhaps in our very northern tier of counties. There could be a
brief period of time near 12Z Tuesday morning where a light wintry
mix is possible, especially in northern Lea County around Tatum,
but any amounts would be negligible as most precip should be
ending before temperatures are able to drop below freezing. There
could still be a possibility though of freezing temps creating
slick conditions where residual rainfall remains on the ground so
travelers should be cautious. The rain moves southeast during the
day on Tuesday and the remainder of the week will be dry with
near normal temps.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     36  67  43  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       37  67  42  70 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         41  69  44  79 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  40  71  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 39  64  42  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          35  64  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          34  69  39  73 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           38  68  43  75 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         38  67  43  75 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           36  71  40  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/10