861
FXUS64 KMAF 121117
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
617 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 617 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

- Seasonal temperatures expected today.

- Above normal temperatures expected Friday through Sunday with
  record highs possible Saturday.

- Critical fire weather conditions are possible Sunday as winds
  increase behind a cold front.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday afternoon)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The short term forecast is quiet for the first time in several
days. High pressure builds south into Texas today bringing more
seasonal temperatures and lighter winds. Lows drop into the 40s
tonight before southerly winds advect in warmer temperatures
causing highs to quickly rebound into the 80s on Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The jet stream edges south on Saturday, increasing downsloping
winds and causing temperatures to soar well above normal. In fact
there could be some records set on Saturday when most of the area
will see highs in the upper 80s to 90s. The record high for MAF on
Saturday is 89 which is a record that could be broken with the
current forecast being 92. An upper trough moving across the
northern plains will send a cold front south on Sunday. The front
is currently expected to arrive in the Permian Basin Sunday
afternoon limiting its impact on highs Sunday, though some cooling
will be seen. It will be very windy again behind the front before
the surface high center arrives Monday. Monday is much cooler but
this time of year, cooling is usually brief with a quick warm up
occurring through the remainder of the week. Very dry air will be
in place preventing any chance for rain.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

VFR conditions and light southerly winds are expected this TAF
period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               70  45  87  48 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 75  48  87  49 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   71  43  90  51 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            74  51  89  55 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           66  50  76  53 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    70  45  84  47 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    68  37  80  42 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     70  46  88  50 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   69  47  87  50 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     73  44  89  46 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10