Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FNUS54 KMRX 171958 FWFMRX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina National Weather Service Morristown TN 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 .DISCUSSION... A wet and active weather pattern will continue to affect the Southern Appalachian Region throughout the week. Rain showers will once again move across the area tonight. Then...another system will push in late Tuesday and continue to generate periods of rain through Friday. As a result...occasional moderate to heavy rainfall will provide the potential for localized flooding through the week. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182100- Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 32-37 (+1) 42-47 (-4) 23-28 41-46 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+12) 47-52 (-33) 80-85 39-44 20ft Wind-AM(mph) W 9 G23 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 6 G22 NW 10 G24 NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 40 Precip duration 5 1 Precip begin 7 PM 2 PM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.07 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 4 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6600 3400 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4600 1400 Transport wnd (mph) W 16 E 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105600 20400 Dispersion 62 Good 6 Very poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) W 11 G23 NE 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 9 G22 NW 13 G24 NW 9 G18 LGT/VAR Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s. South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight. .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182100- Northern Cherokee National Forest- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover Cloudy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 32-37 (-3) 42-47 (-4) 23-28 42-47 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+6) 52-57 (-25) 77-82 36-41 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G25 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 6 G24 NW 10 G25 NW 9 G24 LGT/VAR Precip type Tstms Showers None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 60 Precip duration 7 1 Precip begin 7 PM 1 PM Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.25 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 4 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6400 3900 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3700 1100 Transport wnd (mph) W 18 SE 5 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115200 19500 Dispersion 58 Gen good 3 Very poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 13 G25 LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 9 G24 NW 13 G25 NW 11 G24 LGT/VAR Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ072-074-182100- Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 32-37 (-4) 44-49 (-6) 25-30 42-47 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+5) 35-40 (-47) 79-84 26-31 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G21 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 8 G27 NW 7 G19 N 7 G18 E 5 G26 Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 80 Precip duration 7 2 Precip begin 7 PM 11 AM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.50 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6000 3300 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3000 300 Transport wnd (mph) NW 12 E 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 26400 Dispersion 24 Fair 1 Very poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G21 NE 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 10 G27 NW 10 G19 N 9 G18 E 7 G26 Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Windy, showers. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 30 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Windy. Showers likely. Highs in the 50s. South winds 5 to 30 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. North winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ087-102-182100- Southern Cherokee National Forest- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 34-39 (-4) 47-52 (-5) 27-32 42-47 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+4) 41-46 (-41) 78-83 42-47 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G18 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) S 6 G22 NW 7 G16 N 8 G19 E 6 G21 Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 80 Precip duration 5 2 Precip begin 7 PM 11 AM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.71 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5300 2500 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 400 Transport wnd (mph) N 13 E 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68900 20000 Dispersion 34 Fair 2 Very poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 9 G18 LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) S 7 G22 NW 8 G16 N 10 G19 E 7 G21 Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers. Highs near 60. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ NCZ060-061-182100- Nantahala National Forest- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy MClear PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 35-40 (-4) 50-55 (0) 29-34 42-47 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+6) 32-37 (-49) 75-80 42-47 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 9 G21 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) S 5 G18 NW 8 G19 N 8 G19 E 5 G25 Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 80 Precip duration 5 2 Precip begin 7 PM 10 AM Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.70 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 4 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5800 2500 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3600 300 Transport wnd (mph) NW 14 E 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81200 25000 Dispersion 42 Gen good 2 Very poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G21 LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) S 6 G18 NW 10 G19 N 9 G19 E 7 G25 Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Not as cool. Lows near 50. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. North winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182100- East Tennessee District East- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover Cloudy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 34-39 (-2) 46-51 (-3) 24-29 43-48 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+12) 47-52 (-33) 81-86 42-47 20ft Wind-AM(mph) W 8 G21 NE 5 G17 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR W 9 G21 NW 6 G16 LGT/VAR Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 60 Precip duration 5 1 Precip begin 7 PM 1 PM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.20 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6100 3000 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4600 1500 Transport wnd (mph) W 14 E 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85400 18000 Dispersion 55 Gen good 7 Poor Max LVORI 4 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) W 11 G21 NE 7 G17 33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 5 W 11 G21 NW 7 G16 LGT/VAR Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight. .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182100- East Tennessee District West- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 33-38 (-3) 45-50 (-6) 25-30 41-46 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+6) 44-49 (-38) 80-85 46-51 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 7 G15 NE 6 G18 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SW 5 NW 7 G15 N 6 NE 5 Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 80 Precip duration 5 1 Precip begin 7 PM 12 PM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.37 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 5 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5600 2500 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4300 1300 Transport wnd (mph) NW 10 E 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 20000 Dispersion 37 Fair 9 Poor Max LVORI 4 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 8 NE 8 G18 33ft wind-PM(mph) SW 6 NW 8 N 8 NE 7 Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182100- Cumberland District South- 258 PM EST Sun Feb 17 2019 /158 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019/ Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud cover MCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 33-38 (-5) 47-52 (-6) 29-34 40-45 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+6) 42-47 (-37) 76-81 52-57 20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 7 G17 NE 7 G19 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR NW 7 G17 N 8 G18 NE 6 G20 Precip type Tstms None None Showers Chance precip (%) 100 0 0 80 Precip duration 5 2 Precip begin 7 PM 10 AM Precip end 7 AM Continuing Precip amount 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.78 LAL 2 1 1 1 LASI/Haines 4 2 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4900 2400 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3800 1300 Transport wnd (mph) NW 10 E 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 28800 Dispersion 34 Fair 13 Gen poor Max LVORI 4 3 33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 9 G17 NE 8 G19 33ft wind-PM(mph) W 5 NW 8 G17 N 10 G18 NE 7 G20 Remarks...None. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows near 50. Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. .THURSDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$

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