Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FNUS54 KMRX 231901 FWFMRX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina National Weather Service Morristown TN 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 .DISCUSSION... A summer-like pattern will continue this week with warm temperatures and chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A slow-moving system from the gulf will bring southerly winds and Gulf moisture to the area by the weekend. High temperatures will remain generally in the 80s with lows in the 60s across much of the area. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015- Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover MClear PCldy PCldy PCldy Temp (24h trend) 56-61 (-5) 78-83 (+4) 59-64 77-82 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (0) 47-52 (-14) 95-100 52-57 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5 LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type None Tstms None Tstms Chance precip (%) 0 20 0 40 Precip duration 1 1 Precip begin 1 PM 8 AM Precip end 8 PM Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.09 LAL 1 2 1 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5100 6300 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3100 4200 Transport wnd (mph) SE 7 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35700 63000 Dispersion 19 Gen poor 38 Fair Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) E 5 S 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 6 SE 5 S 6 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015- Northern Cherokee National Forest- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy Temp (24h trend) 55-60 (-5) 74-79 (+2) 59-64 73-78 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 51-56 (-8) 95-100 52-57 20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 7 G18 SE 5 G15 S 5 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance precip (%) 20 30 20 40 Precip duration 1 1 1 1 Precip begin 8 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip end 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.01 0.05 0.02 0.06 LAL 3 3 2 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5300 6500 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2600 3800 Transport wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53000 84500 Dispersion 23 Fair 39 Fair Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 7 SE 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 8 G18 SE 7 G15 S 6 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ072-074-242015- Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 57-62 (0) 74-79 (0) 60-65 71-76 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+2) 55-60 (-2) 91-96 57-62 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance precip (%) 20 50 20 40 Precip duration 1 1 1 1 Precip begin 8 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip end 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.01 0.12 0.02 0.15 LAL 3 3 2 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 6400 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2400 3400 Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32400 64000 Dispersion 13 Gen poor 26 Fair Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) NE 5 E 5 SE 5 S 7 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ087-102-242015- Southern Cherokee National Forest- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 60-65 (+1) 79-84 (+2) 62-67 76-81 RH % (24h trend) 91-96 (-3) 55-60 (0) 93-98 56-61 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance precip (%) 20 50 30 50 Precip duration 1 1 1 1 Precip begin 8 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip end 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.01 0.16 0.03 0.14 LAL 3 3 2 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4500 6300 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2500 4300 Transport wnd (mph) E 3 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13500 75600 Dispersion 7 Poor 40 Fair Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ NCZ060-061-242015- Nantahala National Forest- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 59-64 (0) 77-82 (0) 62-67 75-80 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 55-60 (-3) 95-100 57-62 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance precip (%) 20 50 30 50 Precip duration 1 1 1 1 Precip begin 8 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip end 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.01 0.18 0.05 0.12 LAL 3 3 3 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4600 6500 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2300 4300 Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27600 78000 Dispersion 12 Poor 41 Gen good Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015- East Tennessee District East- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy PCldy PCldy Temp (24h trend) 58-63 (-4) 80-85 (+4) 60-65 79-84 RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (0) 48-53 (-9) 95-100 51-56 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5 LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type None Tstms None Tstms Chance precip (%) 0 20 0 40 Precip duration 1 1 Precip begin 10 AM 8 AM Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.09 LAL 1 3 1 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4500 5800 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3000 4300 Transport wnd (mph) SE 9 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 52200 Dispersion 23 Fair 33 Fair Max LVORI 4 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) E 5 LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR E 7 LGT/VAR S 6 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015- East Tennessee District West- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 60-65 (-1) 82-87 (+3) 63-68 79-84 RH % (24h trend) 92-97 (-2) 43-48 (-12) 94-99 54-59 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip type None Tstms Showers Tstms Chance precip (%) 0 20 0 40 Precip duration 1 1 Precip begin 9 AM Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.11 LAL 1 3 1 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4700 5800 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3400 4500 Transport wnd (mph) E 7 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32900 46400 Dispersion 20 Gen poor 30 Fair Max LVORI 4 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR NE 5 LGT/VAR S 5 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$ TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242015- Cumberland District South- 301 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018 /201 PM CDT Wed May 23 2018/ Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud cover PCldy PCldy PCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 63-68 (+2) 82-87 (+2) 64-69 79-84 RH % (24h trend) 89-94 (-3) 45-50 (-6) 95-100 56-61 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance precip (%) 0 30 20 40 Precip duration 1 1 1 Precip begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.14 LAL 1 3 2 3 LASI/Haines 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4400 5300 Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3200 4100 Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22000 63600 Dispersion 13 Gen poor 39 Fair Max LVORI 5 4 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR NE 5 LGT/VAR S 7 Remarks...None. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. *The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide. For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed. $$

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