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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 181922
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure will continue building across the Tennessee
Valley and southern Appalachians this afternoon through Thursday.
This will bring mainly sunny skies as well as very warm and humid
conditions with only isolated showers and thunderstorms each
afternoon. The ridge will slide eastward Friday allowing a cold
front to approach from the northwest. This will result in a greater
chance of showers and thunderstorms to start the weekend.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear PCldy MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 60-65 (-3) 81-86 (+3) 61-66 82-87
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 50-55 (-13) 93-98 48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6800 7000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4800 5000
Transport wnd (mph) NW 3 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20400 84000
Dispersion 16 Gen poor 47 Gen good
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover PCldy PCldy MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 58-63 (-3) 78-83 (+4) 59-64 79-84
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 53-58 (-17) 92-97 49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6900 7700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4200 5000
Transport wnd (mph) N 6 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 61600
Dispersion 22 Fair 33 Fair
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR S 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-192030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 60-65 (0) 77-82 (+1) 60-65 78-83
RH % (24h trend) 93-98 (-1) 57-62 (-11) 88-93 52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 7000 7100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4000 4100
Transport wnd (mph) N 6 S 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 42600
Dispersion 19 Gen poor 19 Gen poor
Max LVORI 5 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR N 5 E 5 LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-192030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 61-66 (-1) 82-87 (0) 62-67 82-87
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (0) 53-58 (-8) 90-95 48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6800 7200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4700 5100
Transport wnd (mph) N 7 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 50400
Dispersion 27 Fair 32 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 7
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-192030-
Nantahala National Forest-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 59-64 (-2) 81-86 (-4) 60-65 81-86
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (0) 53-58 (-2) 92-97 49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 7900 7900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 5700 5700
Transport wnd (mph) N 7 S 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55300 47400
Dispersion 32 Fair 27 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192030-
East Tennessee District East-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 61-66 (-3) 83-88 (+4) 61-66 84-89
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 50-55 (-14) 93-98 46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6100 6600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4600 5100
Transport wnd (mph) N 2 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12200 52800
Dispersion 10 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI 6 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192030-
East Tennessee District West-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 63-68 (-1) 84-89 (+3) 63-68 85-90
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+1) 51-56 (-11) 93-98 47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6300 6400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 5000 5100
Transport wnd (mph) N 3 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 18900 51200
Dispersion 17 Gen poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-192030-
Cumberland District South-
322 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018 /222 PM CDT Tue Sep 18 2018/
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MClear MClear MClear MClear
Temp (24h trend) 63-68 (-2) 85-90 (+2) 64-69 86-91
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+4) 49-54 (-10) 93-98 45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
Precip type None None None None
Chance precip (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 8 PM
Precip end 9 PM
Precip amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 2 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6200 6700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 5100 5600
Transport wnd (mph) N 5 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31000 53600
Dispersion 19 Gen poor 41 Gen good
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
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- Page last modified: Aug 21st, 2018 14:37 UTC