Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT
037 FXUS65 KMSO 091824 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 1224 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026 .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGES: - Cool, breezy and wet conditions today through Wednesday - Another frost possible Thursday morning, especially along and south of the Interstate 90 corridor Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms will continue producing totals of 0.10 to 0.20 inches, at moderate rates. Additionally, southerly winds 15 to 35 mph, will swing westerly by afternoon. These background winds combined with any shower or storm could produce erractic outflows 35 to 45 mph in isolated cases. Wednesday as the core of this cold trough moves over the region snow levels will lower to around 6000 feet. If you have plans for backcountry fun plan accordingly for cold, wet, and raw conditions, avoid hypothermia. Thursday morning with sufficient cloud clearing isolated areas of frost will be possible. The probability of temperatures 35F or less is 20-30% along the Continental Divide, especially southwest MT and higher valleys of north-central ID. Colder pockets of the Bitterroot Valley may also see temperatures near 35F, 10% or less probability. Another wave drops out of Canada Saturday into Sunday. Details on this system remain low but there is some confidence temperatures will remain seasonal or just slightly cooler than normal with only short periods of light precipitation. && .AVIATION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue this afternoon, the main threat being gusty and erractic outflow winds 30 to 40 kts. The showers and thunderstorms capable of those outflow winds will be isolated and less than 10% chance at KGPI and KMSO, up to 20% chance at KSMN and KBTM. VFR conditions will dominate today but expect brief periods of MVFR and IFR during precipitation episodes along with mountain obscurations. Periodic showers will continue tonight into Wednesday. Winds will diminish in valleys after sunset but remain gusty on ridgetops, then mix back down into valleys on Wednesday late morning/afternoon. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. ID...None. && $$