Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 030520
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1120 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2022

...Updated Forecast Discussion...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1120 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2022

Updated to removed the wind advisory. Brisk northwest winds will
continue to decrease the next several hours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 341 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2022

Key Messages:

 - Wind advisory with wind gusts up to 50 mph through midnight.

 - Wind chills in the single digits above and below zero Saturday
   morning.

 - Slight chance of snow Thursday, but confidence is low.

Tonight:

A strong cold front continues to surge through the forecast
area with rapidly falling temperatures and gusty northwest winds
up to 45-50 mph behind the boundary. We will continue the wind
advisory through the evening hours and now have all areas expiring
at midnight as surge may last a few hours longer than originally
anticipated. In addition, light snow, mainly flurries, are
possible across far northeast Nebraska behind the front as
ceilings were able to drop into MVFR territory. Just enough
moisture in this layer could produce light snow for a few hours.
All model indications are for this MVFR deck to stay across our
northern counties as this system sweeps to the east. In addition,
blowing dust is very possible near construction sites or freshly
worked fields.

Saturday into Sunday:

Winds will diminish after midnight tonight with lows dropping into
the teens to single digits. Wind chill values Saturday morning could
approach -10 F in far northeast Nebraska. Highs for Saturday
should warm into mid to upper 30s as cool northwesterly winds turn
to warming southerly winds by Saturday afternoon and continue
well into Sunday.

Next week:

Quiet weather is expected for much of next week. High and low
temperatures will generally remain on a normal diurnal trend,
with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens, give or take a few
degrees. There continue to be indications on Thursday of a
shortwave trough digging out of Colorado and toward the region
providing small snowfall chances but confidence remains low.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1120 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2022

Patchy MVFR ceilings could occur for another hour or so, but these
will SCT out and skies will become clear. Winds will continue to
gradually decrease. There will be an increase in high level clouds
Saturday afternoon.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Miller
DISCUSSION...Kern
AVIATION...Miller


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