Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 302315

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
615 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...Updated Aviation Forecast Discussion...

Issued at 340 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

Today through Wednesday:
Another beautiful spring day across the area. Temperatures in
southeast Nebraska have topped 70 degrees. The sunshine will give
way to cloud cover late this afternoon as a weak upper level
disturbance impacts the area. This upper level low will lead to
light rain across central Nebraska and northeast Nebraska.
Rainfall totals across the area should be less than a quarter of
an inch.

The next two days should also be great spring weather days. Skies
should be mostly sunny for most of the day as cloud cover should
move out of the area by the mid morning. Strong warm air advection
will be in place for the next couple of days. High temperatures
should range from 63 to 67 degrees. However, as temperatures have
been about 5 degrees warmer than expected today, it is possible
that temperatures reach 70 degrees again. Consistent southerly
winds at 10 to 15 MPH will lead to an even warmer Wednesday. High
temperatures Wednesday should reach 70 degrees for most of the
forecast area.

Thursday through Sunday:
The end of the week and weekend should have a couple of chances
for precipitation. A cold front is expected to impact the area on
Thursday. The timing of that front will affect high temperatures
on the day. As such, there is a big range in forecasted high
temperatures with 49 at the NE/SD border and 66 at the NE/KS
border. Precipitation and strong winds will be associated with the
cold front. Snow will be possible in northeast Nebraska if
precipitation lingers into Friday morning. Northwest flow behind
the front will lead to high temperatures only in the 40s on
Friday. Fear not, the cold should not linger for too long as
temperatures are likely to rebound into the 50s Saturday and 60s
on Sunday. Medium range guidance is in agreement in an active
southwest pattern beginning Sunday night. This will provide
another opportunity for precipitation, though as of now, the
better chance looks to be Monday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

VFR conditions are forecast through Tuesday evening. Rain showers
in central Nebraska and Kansas may approach both KOFK and KLNK,
but are expected to remain largely west of those sites. Still,
lowering cigs to near FL050 are likely overnight with a brief
shower possible. Otherwise mainly mid level cigs are expected with
southeast to south winds through the TAF period.




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