Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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000 FXUS61 KRLX 211728 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 128 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure through the rest of this weekend. Next system arrives Monday afternoon. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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As of 115 PM Saturday... Big Bubble no trouble. High pressure will stay incontrol through Sunday. Some high clouds will start to filter in from the west late this afternoon and overnight tonight. Temperatures tonight won`t be as cold as last night with increasing high clouds. High pressure starts to move eastward during the day tomorrow, look for temperatures to stay on the warm side as winds shift to a more southerly direction.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 255 AM Saturday... Still looking at a warm day Sunday courtesy of light low level southeast flow developing. I do expect quite a bit of high clouds around so did not stray from warmest guidance. An upper level system will pivot through early next week with scattered showers late afternoon Monday across southern zones...and overspreading the remainder of the area Monday night. It still appears the heaviest rains will remain east of the forecast area, except along the eastern slopes where a decent easterly flow will maximize amounts. Despite the unsettled conditions, it will remain mild. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 300 AM Saturday... Multiple upper level impulses embedded within the amplifying upper trof pivot through the Ohio Valley in the extended. This will keep the threat of showers each day, particularly late Friday. && .AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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As of 120 PM Saturday... VFR expected through the TAF period. High pressure will be in control with increasing high clouds overnight and early Sunday. Winds will be light and varible through the afternoon hours and tonight. A southerly shift to the winds Sunday as the high pressure moves off to the east. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY... Timing of increasing clouds may vary overnight and early Sunday morning. FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M AFTER 18Z SUNDAY... IFR conditions possible late Monday afternoon and Monday night under moderate rainfall.
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&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JS/26 NEAR TERM...JS SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM...30 AVIATION...JS is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.