-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
121
FXUS61 KRLX 111000
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
600 AM EDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Smaller chances of storms today, otherwise daily chances for
mainly diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms continue as a
warm and moist airmass remains in place.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 555 AM Friday...

Updated forecast to put a small chance of showers early this
morning northeast of Parkersburg.


As of 1240 AM Friday...

River valley fog and fog where rain occurred yesterday can be
expected this morning. Although warm, moist and humid air will
remain at the surface today, some drier air aloft will limit
afternoon and evening thunderstorm development compared to
previous days. The best chances to see precipitation will be in
the mountains.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1245 AM Friday...

The warm, moist and humid air will remain over the region this
weekend. This will provide mainly diurnal showers and
thunderstorms. A cold front approaches from the northwest and
moves into the region on Sunday, increasing moisture over the
region. The front will stall over the area while a wave forms
along the front associated with an upper level trough. This wave
will cross the area Sunday night into Monday, allowing for some
storms outside the typical diurnal pattern. Drier air will move
in behind the wave Monday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1250 AM Friday...

A high pressure system will provide drier air for Tuesday. Even
so, can`t rule out some afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms in the mountains.

As the high shifts eastward, a southerly wind flow will allow
moisture to gradually increase Wednesday and Thursday. This will
allow for an increasing chance afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 555 AM Friday...

Fog will dissipate early this morning. A cumulus deck will
form during the day with some showers and thunderstorms, but
less than previous days with the best chances in the mountains.
River valley fog and fog where rain occurs today can be expected
again tonight.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High, expect medium with fog.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of fog dissipating could vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS
CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                    FRI 07/11/25
UTC 1HRLY       08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19
EDT 1HRLY       04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    H    H    M    M    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    M    L    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H

AFTER 12Z SATURDAY...
Brief periods of IFR conditions possible under showers and
thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours,
each day through Monday. IFR fog possible during the overnights.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RPY
NEAR TERM...RPY
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...RPY