Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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612 FXUS64 KSHV 092109 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 409 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...New UPDATE, SHORT TERM... .UPDATE... Issued at 401 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Severe Thunderstorm Watch #222 has been issued through 11 p.m. this evening. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday Night) Issued at 401 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Severe thunderstorms in NE TX are on our doorstep yet again running along I-30 toward Red River County now. Stay tuned to NOAA WX radio and local TV and radio outlets for warnings for large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph and for an isolated tornado through out the evening hours with the watch extending just south of I-20 from Tyler to Shreveport and Monroe. /24/ && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 243 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 A brief break in active weather will come to an end as the next workweek begins across the Four State Region. This is due to a quasi-zonal synoptic pattern augmented by a series of slower troughs and faster embedded shortwaves across northern Mexico and the Southern Plains. The first of these disturbances will arrive to instigate widespread convection as early as late Sunday into early Monday, while the next disturbance in the parade will arrive as early as Wednesday to keep precipitation chances going through most of the rest of the week. Day 1-7 QPF values of widespread 3+ inch totals are expected with isolated higher amounts possible as a result. Otherwise, temperature maximums/minimums in the 80s/60s will gradually return above normal (maximums approaching 90 once again) after the middle of next week. /16/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 For the 09/18Z TAFs, IFR to MVFR CIGs prevail across area terminals and will struggle to recover significantly through the remainder of the afternoon. Conditions will deteriorate from west to east by the late afternoon and early evening hours as a complex of strong thunderstorms moves out of east Texas and into Louisiana and Arkansas, parallel to the Interstate 20 corridor. Destructive winds as high as 75 mph will be possible with these storms, as well as damaging large hail and possibly a tornado or two. This will be a fast-moving complex and should depart the area quickly during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, with a return to VFR conditions to follow. Winds will be variable through the afternoon and evening before becoming northeasterly and northerly behind this evening`s storms, continuing through the end of this forecast period at sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts. /26/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 67 84 62 82 / 50 0 0 0 MLU 66 83 59 82 / 70 0 0 0 DEQ 59 80 54 82 / 20 0 0 0 TXK 62 83 58 83 / 30 0 0 0 ELD 61 81 56 81 / 40 0 0 0 TYR 65 83 61 80 / 50 0 0 0 GGG 65 83 61 81 / 50 0 0 0 LFK 67 85 64 82 / 50 0 10 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...26