Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 311938
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
238 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

An upper level low over northern Mexico is resulting in an influx
of tropical moisture into the southern half of the area this
afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have developed and
will continue to slowly spread north and west. Some of this
activity may move into portions of the Concho Valley late this
afternoon or early this evening. Most of this activity will
dissipate by mid evening. Expect overnight low temperatures in the
mid 60s. Several of the CAMs are showing isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms after midnight across central/southern
portions of the area, so have continued slight chance PoPs through
the early morning hours Monday.

The aforementioned upper level low will become centered across
the Permian Basin/Trans Pecos region, by Monday afternoon. This
will place West Central Texas in a favorable position to see
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the
afternoon hours. The best rain chances will be across the
southern half of the area, with rain chances decreasing as you
head north. Not everyone will see rainfall, but those that do may
see heavy rainfall as precipitable water values approach or exceed
1.5 inches.

Daniels

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Weekend)

By Monday night, the upper level low will be to our west, keeping
our area in a generally favorable location for showers and
thunderstorms Monday evening. Much of this activity will be
diurnally driven, with activity peaking during the later afternoon
and evening hours, so rain chances will diminish as we move
through the overnight hours. On Tuesday, the upper low will begin
moving east toward the eastern half of Texas while also weakening.
So, although we will still have a chance for isolated to scattered
afternoon and evening thunderstorms Tuesday, but will not go
higher than Slight Chance, as with the low moving to our east, we
will be transitioning to the subsident side of the low, generally
lowering our chances for precipitation.

From Wednesday through next weekend, upper level ridging is still
expected to spread over the area, resulting in dry weather, and
warming temperatures. Highs in the mid/upper 90s will be common by
the end of the week, with some potentially some triple digit
temperatures by Sunday.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  64  84  65  86 /  10  30  10  20
San Angelo  65  85  65  86 /  30  50  20  20
Junction  64  83  65  83 /  30  60  20  20
Brownwood  65  84  65  86 /  10  40  10  20
Sweetwater  65  83  65  86 /  10  30  20  20
Ozona       63  82  65  84 /  30  50  20  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$



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