417
FXUS64 KSJT 100525
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1225 AM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2024

Temperatures early this afternoon are pleasant for early September,
in the upper 70s and lower 80s across our area. Humidity levels are
comfortable as area dewpoints have dropped into the 40s. These
favorable conditions compliments of an extensive surface high
pressure ridge, from the Ohio Valley southwest across West Central
Texas. The surface pressure ridge will remain across our area
while weakening on Tuesday. With dry air in place, clear skies and
generally light winds will facilitate good radiational cooling
tonight. Expect Tuesday morning lows to be mostly in the mid 50s
in the Big Country, and 50 to 55 farther south. The more favored
locations in low-lying areas and along river valleys in the
southern half of our area could have lows 46-49 degrees, similar
to what occurred last night.

With ample sunshine, temperatures will reach the mid to upper 80s
for highs on Tuesday, and a few locations could see 90 degrees.
Expect winds to stay mostly under 10 mph on Tuesday, with east to
southeast winds in the Big Country and east-northeast winds farther
south.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2024

Quiet weather, with a return to summer-like temperatures expected
in the long term forecast.

Wednesday into Thursday, a weak upper level low will be over west
central Texas as the tropical system Francine makes landfall in
Louisiana. This will allow temperatures to remain somewhat close
to normal values with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. As we
move into the second half of the week, and next weekend, upper
level ridging will move into the area. Low level thermal ridging
will intensify under this ridging, leading to warmer temperatures
and generally dry weather. By Friday into Saturday, highs will be
mid to upper 90s, with triple digit heat not out of the question
in parts of the Big Country and Concho Valley. An upper level
shortwave is expected to make its way around the ridge late in
the forecast, which may result in 20 to 30 percent chances for
precipitation early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Tue Sep 10 2024

VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours with generally
northeast to east winds of 5 to 10 MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     86  61  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  87  59  89  63 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    87  61  89  63 /   0   0  10   0
Brownwood   87  62  88  63 /   0   0  10   0
Sweetwater  88  60  88  65 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       86  59  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       86  62  87  64 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...SK