Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 250001
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
701 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2020

.Discussion...
Issued at 322 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2020

Only minor changes to the overall forecast package, with the
trend of slightly higher snowfall accumulations on Monday - with
the primary accumulations occurring on grassy and elevated
surfaces.

Main focus remains on the prospects for wintry weather Sunday night
through Monday afternoon. Models continue to trend toward better
agreement. Cold air looks to be in place for the majority of
precipitation, with vertical temperature profiles generally
supporting the primary weather type as snow. Continued moistening
may lead to light showers over the northwest half of the forecast
area on Sunday, with chances gradually increasing by
afternoon/evening. The most notable period of precipitation is
expected to begin by Monday morning and lasting for much of the
daylight hours across portions of the area. While precipitation will
initially start as rain Sunday evening, look for rain to change to
snow Sunday night as colder air advects into the region. The Monday
morning commute may be impacted, and while amounts will be
relatively low at the start of the commute, slick spots and
occasional limited visibility coupled with the first snow of the
season may yield a higher than normal impact. Total snowfall amounts
from late Sunday night into Monday will average 1-2 inches for much
of the area, with the higher amounts favoring grassy and elevated
surfaces. Precipitation is expected to end by Monday evening, with
widespread freezing temperatures Monday night and again Tuesday
night. The minimum readings will largely be dictated by how much
snow falls and remains on the ground.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 658 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2020

MVFR ceilings are expected to persist at all sites through the
period, along with east and northeast winds. Through early Sunday
morning, ceilings will dip below 2kft and will remain there
through Sunday evening. Rain chances may move in before 26/00Z,
but chances are low enough to leave out a mention at the end of
the period at this time. Rain chances and any ceiling changes will
be reassessed with the 25/06Z issuance.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...Kurtz


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