Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 192310
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
510 PM CST Wed Jan 19 2022

.Discussion...
Issued at 144 PM CST WED JAN 19 2022

Key Message:

- Dangerously cold temperatures are expected through Friday morning,
with Thursday morning wind chills 10 to 20 degrees below zero in
areas north of Interstate 70.

A cold, cloudy, blustery day has been the rule, with temperatures
steady or slowing falling into the teens and 20s. Light radar
returns have been persistent above 4,000ft, but a dry sub-cloud
layer has prohibited much, if any, flurries to reach the surface.
This trend is expected through the remainder of the
evening/overnight, with virga to end, ceiling heights to increase,
and gradually clearing skies around sunrise Thursday.

As for temperatures tonight, CAA will continue upon northerly winds
still remaining breezy at times. Factoring in the wind with the
cold, wind chill readings will fall between zero and 20 below zero
this evening into Thursday morning. The coldest values will be north
of Interstate 70, and a wind chill advisory remains in effect for
portions of northern Missouri. Highs on Thursday will be the coldest
daytime readings in the forecast package, with highs only in the
teens for most locations. With surface high pressure over the area
Thursday night, good radiational cooling with clear skies and light
winds are expected, likewise lows will fall into the 5 to -6 degree
range for the CWA. Fortunately, the light winds should prohibit wind
chills much beyond the actual temperature.

Temperatures moderate by the weekend into Monday, with highs
returning to more seasonable levels. Yet another strong cold front
is projected to push through the region by Tuesday, once again
dropping readings to below-normal levels. As for precipitation
chances, dry conditions are expected through the next seven days.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 510 PM CST WED JAN 19 2022

VFR conditions are expected with north winds prevailing through
the forecast. Ongoing gusty winds will decrease overnight and
remain relatively lighter through the day tomorrow. Thick high-
level clouds will decrease overnight eventually becoming scattered
or even clear tomorrow.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...Wind Chill Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Thursday
     for MOZ001>008-015>017-024-025.

&&

$$

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...CDB


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