


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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224 FXUS63 KICT 180851 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 351 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Morning showers and storms across southeast KS - Dry and warm Thursday-Sunday with rain chances returning early next week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 349 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 As of 345 AM Wednesday morning, a midlevel trough axis continues to slowly progress through the central Plains with an area of showers and storms across southeast KS. The potential for severe storms has come to an end with a lack of instability and shear. This activity will exit southeast KS this morning with dry conditions expected thereafter. Despite the storms departing the area, widespread rainfall amounts of 2-6" continue to result in areal and river flooding. The Flood Watch remains in effect through 1 PM for portions of central, south- central, and southeast KS. Transitioning into this afternoon, a subtle shortwave trough will makes its way through the longer wave trough. Steepening lapse rates may be sufficient for a few showers/storms across northeast/eastern KS. At this point, short range deterministic/ensemble guidance suggest the greatest potential will remain across northeast KS and have dry conditions in the forecast this afternoon. Longwave, midlevel ridging will build across the area for late week into the weekend, setting the stage for drier and warmer conditions. Temperatures will reach the 90s and near 100 Friday through at least Sunday. In addition to the heat, a deepening surface trough axis will increase the pressure gradient Friday through Sunday. South to southwesterly wind gusts up to 35-40 mph are expected throughout the weekend. The aforementioned midlevel ridge axis will slowly move east early next week, allowing the surface trough axis to slide towards the central KS. This will allow for the return of rain chances late Monday and Tuesday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Showers and storms will continue at CNU through 10Z with dry conditions expected thereafter. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected with light and variable winds prevailing after 08Z through sunrise. Northwesterly winds will increase to 10-15 kt by mid-morning through early evening. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for KSZ050>053- 067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100. && $$ DISCUSSION...BRF AVIATION...BRF