Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 242254

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
654 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

Issued at 256 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

One more day of warm temperatures on Saturday and an increase in
chances of light precipitation and a few thunderstorms late
Saturday into Sunday. Cooler and dry weather will then prevail
through Tuesday. Warming trend will begin on Wednesday and
continue into the end of the work week. Another chance of light
precipitation arrives on Thursday evening.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 256 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

One more day of highs in upper 80s and lower 90s. Luckily the
dewpoints will be much more reasonable than a couple of weeks ago
when dewpoints were in the 70s and 80s. So temps will feel pretty
close to what the thermometer is reading. The quiet precipitation
pattern will continue aside from Saturday night into Sunday
afternoon when a weak cool frontal boundary will provide for enough
lift to increase the chances of showers and at times a moderate rain
shower and an elevated embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.
Moisture is on the dry side with this system. Storm totals, and I do
use the word "storm` very loosely, will for most of the area remain
less than 0.15". The northwest parts of the CWA could see a bit more
as convection is a bit more possible with the front arriving
there early enough on Saturday. This is because the timing of the
boundary passage will not be conducive to ideal surface based
activity as solar heating will be mostly finished by the time the
boundary enters our airspace. A few showers and a possibly an
isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible Sunday morning and
early afternoon as the front moves southeastward out of the area
and leaves cooler temperatures in it`s wake, highs in the upper
70s and lower 80s.


.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 256 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

Cooler temperatures and dry conditions will remain in place and
will continue into the work week through at least Tuesday with a
quasi zonal upper air flow in place.

On Wednesday, upper ridging will again begin to encroach upon the
region and a warming trend will commence with mid to upper 80s on
Wednesday and by Thursday upper 80s and low 90s will be back in
play. No precipitation is expected until another weak trough moves
into the region late Thursday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 654 PM EDT Fri Jun 24 2022

VFR conditions will hold through the period as this dry/stable
airmass holds on the backside of high pressure. A mid level
impulse and associated shot of elevated moisture does approach
tomorrow with some increase in mid-high cloud cover the only
impact. Light winds tonight will give way to southerly winds to
near 10 knots otherwise tomorrow.




SHORT TERM...Andersen
LONG TERM...Andersen

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