Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 182000
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
300 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2020

.Near Term.../Through Tonight/...

High pressure to the east this afternoon, will move to the southeast
Tonight as a cold front approaches from the northwest. This front
will reach SE GA by dawn. Scattered showers expected along the
front, with a few showers ahead of it as well. Expect dry weather to
continue through around midnight, with chances then through the
night. Temperatures will remain above normal Tonight.

&&

.Short Term.../Sunday through Wednesday/...

The cold front is expected to move southeast across the region
during the day Sunday. Scattered showers will accompany the frontal
passage, and noticeably cooler air will arrive following passage.
Due to the enhanced pressure gradient, winds will become gusty
behind the front. Skies will clear Sunday night, as cooler air
continues to filter in. Temperatures will fall to around freezing
across inland SE GA, while holding in the lower to mid 40s near
the coast. Strong high pressure will build from the northwest
Monday through Monday night, then to the north Tuesday through
Wednesday. This will be a cooler than normal period, with freezes
inland Monday night and Tuesday night. As the high moves more to
the north by Wednesday, the flow will become more onshore with the
potential for a coastal trough developing, with a few coastal
showers becoming possible.

&&

.Long Term.../Wednesday night through Saturday/...

High pressure will be centered to the north Wednesday night through
Friday, then toward the northeast Friday night and east on Saturday.
Low pressure will move northeast out of the gulf across the region
Friday night into Saturday.

While the high is to the north Wednesday night through Friday, the
largely onshore flow will continue, with weak coastal throughing. A
chance for mainly coastal showers expected during this time. As the
low lifts out of the gulf, shower chances will increase late Friday
through Saturday.

Temperatures will recover back to around normal Wednesday night
through Thursday, then above normal Thursday night through Saturday.

&&

.Marine...

High pressure will move southeast of the region through Tonight. A
cold front will move southeast across the area Sunday, with strong
high pressure building from the northwest Sunday night. High
pressure will remain to the northwest through Tuesday, then to the
north through Friday.

Rip Currents: SE GA low risk Sunday
              NE FL moderate risk Sunday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  60  64  32  50  29 /  40  50   0   0   0
SSI  62  68  38  51  35 /  20  50   0   0   0
JAX  62  71  37  55  34 /  20  40   0   0   0
SGJ  63  75  40  56  39 /  10  40  10   0   0
GNV  60  72  37  56  32 /  20  50   0   0   0
OCF  60  72  38  58  33 /  10  50  10   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Coastal Duval-
     Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.

GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Sunday for Waters from
     Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20
     to 60 NM.

&&


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