Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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858
FXUS64 KMAF 261134
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
634 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Please see 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Expect VFR to prevail for the next 24 hrs. Light easterly winds
will gradually increase and veer out of the southeast today.
Gusts 20-25 kts will be common at all TAF sites by 14-15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge will continue to build in from the west through the
weekend before the next upper low off the CA coast comes ashore
Monday.  This low opens up as it moves east across the region but
another upper trough comes down out of the NW Tuesday keeping the
area in SW flow aloft through mid week. A weak trough runs under
the ridge Friday before another closed low hits CA coast on
Saturday.

A weak front moved through the area Thursday evening leaving an
easterly wind in its wake. Will have to watch for possible brief
high wind event at GDP as the front squeezes through but expecting
it will fall short as gradient not tight. This front should
result in a return to cooler/near normal temperatures today but a
south wind and warmer conditions quickly return. Highs Saturday
and Sunday should climb into the 90s for much of the region with
ridge overhead. Saturday afternoon/evening a front moves into NE
but makes little southward progression before lifting back out on
Sunday. Front tries to return late Monday but models show it not
making very far back into the CWA so will be of little effect.
Overall expect warm temperatures through most of next week.

Storm chances return to the forecast next week.  With a series of
lows/troughs moving across the plains and SW flow will have
potential for shortwaves to track over the area. A chance of
storms begins Monday night and continues each period through the
end of the week. Currently models give Tuesday the best chance of
rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     80  62  91  60 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       83  58  93  60 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         87  63  97  65 /   0   0  10   0
Fort Stockton                  85  64  95  65 /   0   0  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 79  61  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          79  57  88  55 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          83  50  87  50 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           82  63  92  62 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         82  63  92  62 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           86  62  96  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/72



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