640
FXUS64 KMOB 031946
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
246 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Drier conditions will likely persist through the weekend with high
pressure building over the central US and east coast troughing in
place. Steady northwesterly flow will persist into the weekend
becoming more northeasterly then easterly by early next week as
the upper ridge slowly shifts eastward. By the middle of next
week, the ridge will be centered over north Florida leading to
broad southwesterly flow to develop allowing moisture to return.
At the surface, a weak boundary has slipped offshore and will
hang out there for a couple of days before washing out and
gradually lifting northward next week. A weak tropical disturbance
will likely develop along this front off the east coast of
Florida over the weekend which might aid in pulling some drier air
into the area. Things should be dry for your fourth of July
celebrations with slowly increasing rain chances each afternoon
through the weekend and into next week. Rain chances will be best
along the usual suspect areas just along and just north of I-10
where the seabreeze gets during the afternoon. Expect the usual
summertime routine of scattered showers offshore during the
morning then a mostly dry midday before thunderstorms develop by
the mid to late afternoon. Other than that, not much going on
other than it being hot and humid. Heat indices will be lower the
next day or two with the drier air but expect them to gradually
climb to around 100 to 105 by the middle of next week. BB-8 &&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

VFR conditions under northerly winds expected for most of the
forecast. A shift in winds to westerly is expected in the
afternoon for stations south of I-10, before becoming a light
northerly in the mid to late evening.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 203 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Generally light offshore flow prevails through Friday before
becoming a light diurnal flow pattern this weekend featuring
offshore winds overnight and onshore winds during the afternoon.
By the beginning to middle of next week, a more persistent light
to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow becomes
established. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  94  73  94  73  92  72  92 /   0  10  10  50  20  50  20  60
Pensacola   75  94  76  93  75  91  76  91 /   0  20  20  50  30  60  20  60
Destin      78  94  79  94  78  91  78  91 /   0  30  20  50  40  60  30  60
Evergreen   70  95  71  95  70  94  71  94 /   0  20  10  20  10  30  10  50
Waynesboro  70  94  70  95  71  95  70  95 /   0   0   0  20  10  30  10  40
Camden      69  93  71  93  71  93  72  93 /   0  10   0  20  10  20  10  40
Crestview   70  95  72  94  71  93  72  93 /   0  30  10  50  20  60  20  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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