Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FXUS64 KMOB 191730

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1230 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday/...Drier weather will slowly give
way to a more active pattern as we head into the weekend. Upper
level ridging will relax today; however, it should remain enough
in place to keep the current afternoon forecast on track. The
upper ridge will breakdown tonight into early Friday as a broad
upper trough moves out of the central US. A subtle shortwave
trough will pass over the area dragging deep layer moisture
northward out of the central Gulf. PWATS will steadily climb on
Friday to around 1.5 inches. The best moisture will be along the
coast and mainly east of I-65 during the afternoon. Given the
presence of deep layer moisture and the subtle impulse, isolated
to scattered showers should develop along the I-10 corridor and
spread northward with time on Friday. Storms will likely remain
below any severe limits but there should be enough instability for
at least some thunder possible.

Temperatures will remain warm with highs floating in the upper 80s
to low 90s. With higher dewpoints up in the low 70s, heat indices
will likely climb into the mid to upper 90s on Friday. Lows will
also remain warm with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s tonight.
Some patchy fog may be possible over south central Alabama late
tonight where enough of the influence from the ridge will allow
for radiational cooling. With increasing southerly wind, a HIGH
risk of rip currents will begin on Friday and persist into the
weekend. BB/03


18Z issuance...Mostly VFR conditions across the area with light
south-southwesterly winds around 10 knots. VFR conditions should
persist overnight with only some localized patchy fog north of
I-10 over south central Alabama. Winds will increase tomorrow out
of the south around 15 knots gusting to 20 knots. BB/03


AL...High Rip Current Risk from Friday morning through late Sunday
     night for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Friday morning through late Sunday
     night for FLZ202-204-206.



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