350
FXUS64 KOUN 061836
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1236 PM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1226 PM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

 - A significant cold front brings below-average temperatures to
   the area on Sunday and Monday, with a hard freeze Monday
   morning.

 - Dry conditions persist for at least the next seven days.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1226 PM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

Southerly winds have returned which will bring warmer temperatures
back through northern Oklahoma--highs in the mid 70s (north OK) to
the low 80s (south OK / north TX). This afternoon will see a light
breeze of 10 to 15 mph.

Another weak front will enter northwest Oklahoma this evening,
moving through most of the region overnight. By dawn, lows will
range from the mid 40s (NW OK) to the upper 50s (SE OK).

Day

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 1226 PM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

Another warm and dry day with clearing skies is expected on Friday.

The next front (stronger this time) is expected on Saturday. This
will bring gusty north winds and much colder temperatures. Saturday
will be the transition day as highs are cut short to the 60s in
northern Oklahoma while souther OK and north TX are able to rise
into the upper 70s again before being overrun by colder air.
Saturday night, lows will fall to at or just below freezing in
northwest Oklahoma (other areas will see mid 30s to mid 40s).

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 201 AM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

Model guidance continues to trend downward with temperatures for
Sunday and Monday morning. On Sunday morning, air temperatures are
forecast to drop into the 30`s to low 40`s but it will feel much
colder due to the strong north winds. Wind chill values in the
20`s are anticipated to reach into parts of southern Oklahoma
early Sunday morning and may continue for the northern half of
Oklahoma through at least mid-morning. Sunday high temperatures
may not rise out of the 40`s, despite sunny skies. A hard freeze
is looking more likely for most areas as Monday morning low
temperatures drop into the 20`s. Will see a bit of a warmup on
Monday, but our region will remain under northwest flow as
amplifying trough departs and a ridge approaches.

Then, the upper-level pattern weakens and becomes less amplified
as the ridge remains centered to our west. This will lead to
warm-up into the 70`s on Tuesday and Wednesday, with dry
conditions persisting.

Thompson

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1059 AM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

VFR conditions will continue.

South winds will shift to the north throughout the period as a
weak cold front pushes through the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  51  73  47  70 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         49  76  44  73 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  50  79  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           44  70  43  64 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     48  73  44  68 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         59  79  50  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...13