Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pittsburgh, PA

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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 070017 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 717 PM EST Sat Mar 6 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Dry, cool weather is expected tonight and tomorrow. Warmer temperatures are expected next week under southwest flow. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Stratocu and scattered flurries should continue to erode as sfc high pressure builds in. Wind should become nearly calm overnight, with efficient radiational cooling as decoupling occurs. Went closer to the colder guidance with this scenario expected, resulting in lows around 10 degrees below average. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Mostly clear and cool conditions will continue Sunday into Sunday night under high pressure and lingering northwest flow. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A pattern shift will is anticipated to start Monday as warm, moist advection prevails over the Ohio River Valley. Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above the climatological average mid week under strong southwest flow. Despite the lingering warm and moist conditions, rain will likely not be experienced until the late work week due to the lack of jet level support and deep elevated moisture. Rain will finally reach our region Thursday into Friday as a slow moving cold front approaches. && .AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Mostly clear skies under high pressure will continue through much of the TAF period. FKL/DUJ remain on the edge of a deteriorating cloud shield and should clear out within the next few hours as drier air moves in. Otherwise, light northwest wind will become near calm overnight and then increase again by late morning tomorrow. .Outlook... VFR largely expected until the next system arrives late next week. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. OH...None. WV...None. && $$

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