962
FXUS64 KBMX 140553
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1253 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1249 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

- High temperatures will be well above normal this week, with
  medium to high chances of record high temperatures.

- A cold front will move through the region Friday into Saturday,
  bringing cooler temperatures to the area for the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Wednesday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1023 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

The warm weather continues to be the main story through the
remainder of the week as daytime highs are expected to run
several degrees higher than what is typical for this time of
year. We will likely approach and potentially break high
temperature records Wednesday and Thursday as this persistent
high pressure remains across the region. This pattern really
doesn`t start to change for Central AL until Friday morning when
a trough slides through the Ohio Valley and into the Appalachians
by Friday night. This trough will push a dry cold front
southeastward through the region during the day on Friday,
leading to a sharp drop in temperatures for Saturday and Sunday.
We`re not really expecting much in the way of rainfall with this
frontal passage, so the main impact will be gusty winds and the
drop in temperatures. The high pressure that builds in behind the
front Saturday into Sunday will shift eastward over the Carolinas
by Sunday morning leading to a wedge front setting up for the
early part of next week. This will support drier conditions
persisting through at least Monday into Tuesday.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

Once again, transient shallow fog may briefly restrict
visibilities below 3 miles at TCL or MGM overnight. Similar to
last night, any fog that does affect those terminals (or any
others, for that matter), will burn off quickly after sunrise.
Aside from that, clear skies and VFR conditions will continue for
the next 24 hour forecast periods.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the end
of the week with MinRHs dropping into the low 30% range for many
locations Wednesday and Thursday. A dry cold front will move
through the area Friday into Saturday leading to gusty winds,
little to no rainfall, and much drier and cooler conditions
behind the front.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

Record High Temperatures:

Wed Oct. 14:
KBHM: 89/1984
KEET: 89/2016
KANB: 88/1975
KTCL: 90/1962
KMGM: 91/1883

Thu Oct. 15:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 92/2025
KANB: 87/1975
KTCL: 91/1962
KMGM: 92/1881

Fri Oct. 16:
KBHM: 90/1897
KEET: 90/2025
KANB: 87/1965
KTCL: 90/1962

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     89  60  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    88  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  90  64  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  92  61  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      90  61  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      88  64  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  89  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        89  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...25/Owen
AVIATION.../61/