Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 211700
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1200 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1158 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

Updated the forecast for this afternoon to include chances of
precipitation for a few more hours into early/mid afternoon.
Satellite/Radar trends are showing signs of this activity on the
wane and should dry up for the mid to late afternoon.

UPDATE Issued at 909 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

Update the forecast for today to include some small chances of
precipitation this morning in the northwest part of the CWA.
There is enough elevated instability and decent mid-level lapse
rates to have a slight chance of thunder as well. Also increased
sky cover in the northwest as well. Still looks like a fair amount
of haze today (elevated smoke) according the the HRRR smoke model,
especially in the northwest CWA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

A few sprinkles on radar this morning are associated with a weak
wave passing across the region. Do not expect these to amount to
much, with the main impact being an increase in cloud cover for
the first half of the day. Otherwise...smoke models continue to
indicate we will see some haze across the region again
today...with the possibility of a few sites dropping to 5 miles
of visibility at times. While so far most locations have remained
in the 7-10 SM range...went ahead an included a mention for the
potential of hazy/filtered sunshine again today as continued smoke
from wildfires to our west impacts the region.

Otherwise...above normal temperatures and dry weather will be the
rule through the end of the work week...with a weak front making
its way across the area Friday night. While a small chance of
showers or thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday across the
area as a result...this does not look to be a widespread or
significant weather maker for the region as model consensus is
for a light event. Therefore...the main impact will likely be the
cooler temperatures...with highs over the weekend falling 10-15
degrees across the area. This cooler weather should last into the
start of next week...although precipitation chances continue to
look minimal/non-existent at this time.

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Tuesday)
Issued at 619 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

VFR are conditions expected through the period with the few
light showers/sprinkles to the west/north of the terminals this
morning not expected to have an impact. At the present...still
expect a couple more hours of marginal wind shear...improving
later in the morning as steady southerly winds...gusting to near
20 KTS...continue through the day. Will also likely see some
hazy/filtered sunshine...but CIGS/VSBYs still expected to remain
in the VFR categories.

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Tuesday)
Issued at 619 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

VFR are conditions expected through the period with the few
light showers/sprinkles to the west/north of the terminals this
morning not expected to have an impact. At the present...still
expect a couple more hours of marginal wind shear...improving
later in the morning as steady southerly winds...gusting to near
20 KTS...continue through the day. Will also likely see some
hazy/filtered sunshine...but CIGS/VSBYs still expected to remain
in the VFR categories.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Heinlein
DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Rossi


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