Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 211135
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
635 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

A shortwave continues to march east through south central Canada
early this morning while a ridge axis remains from the Great Lakes
region to the Tennessee Valley. Southerly surface flow will continue
across the area today with breezy conditions expected in central
KS. Otherwise, no real change from previous days, with temps near
80 degrees with hazy/smokey skies.

Attention then turns to tropical storm Beta (TS Beta). TS Beta
currently sits just off the coast of Texas and is forecast to come
on shore by this evening. A weak impulse and moisture streaming
north from TS Beta will bring chances for a few scattered showers to
the area tomorrow into tomorrow night. Activity should be limited
to the southern/southeastern most portions the CWA. Minimal
precip accumulation expected.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

Models continue to agree that ridging across the southwest US will
expand into the Central and Southern Plains from Wednesday through
Friday bringing with it a warming trend and dry conditions. A
progressive trough is expected to follow for the weekend bringing
chances of a few showers and storms late Saturday through mid-day
Sunday. Expect below normal temperatures in the mid 70s to end the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

Low level moisture advection this morning will result in stratocu
cigs though mainly VFR across south central Kansas into the Flint
Hills. A period of VFR stratocu cigs are possible in southeast
Kansas this afternoon. Otherwise, diurnally gusty south winds are
expected across central Kansas again today.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    80  56  75  57 /   0  10  10  10
Hutchinson      82  55  77  56 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          81  56  76  56 /   0   0  10  10
ElDorado        79  57  74  56 /   0  10  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   80  58  73  58 /   0  10  20  20
Russell         83  55  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      82  53  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          82  55  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       82  54  78  56 /   0   0  10   0
Coffeyville     79  59  72  57 /   0  20  30  30
Chanute         79  57  74  56 /   0  10  20  20
Iola            78  57  75  56 /   0  10  20  20
Parsons-KPPF    79  59  73  56 /   0  20  20  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KMB
LONG TERM...KMB
AVIATION...KED


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