Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 250615
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
115 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:

Areas of MVFR/IFR stratus/fog will likely develop along the HBG
to MEI corridor as we go through the predawn hours and early
morning. Expect mainly VFR conditions the remainder of tonight
into Friday morning with generally light and variable wind.
Scattered TSRA will develop again Friday afternoon, with emphasis
from late afternoon into early evening as has been the case
recently. Temporary impacts could be felt at all TAF sites before
convection diminishes late in the evening. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Definitely less convection this evening than was the case
yesterday evening, although that doesn`t mean there have not still
been some scattered heavy downpours and brief gusty winds out
there. As of this time the main remaining blobs of showers and
storms are showing signs of merging in central MS in the next hour
or two, if they can hold together that long in the face of waning
instability. There may some very localized issues with heavy rain
in central MS if this merger comes to fruition, but at this point
the prospect for severe storms or much in the way of hazardous
weather looks pretty low.

Otherwise, overnight an actual upper trough, albeit a weak one,
will start to move into the Lower MS Valley from the west. The
influence of this feature may keep at least some isolated showers
and/or storms going through the night but more than likely most
spots remain dry. Of course patchy fog may emerge in areas which
received heavy downpours today - if clouds can clear out enough to
provide the needed radiational cooling component. Expecting the
mentioned trough feature to have most of its effect on convection
in the area tomorrow, probably triggering general convection
earlier in the day than has been the case lately. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       85  69  87  68 /  55  38  48  24
Meridian      87  68  87  67 /  55  43  58  42
Vicksburg     87  70  89  70 /  53  29  38  19
Hattiesburg   86  68  86  68 /  55  36  67  31
Natchez       85  69  88  69 /  55  31  51  22
Greenville    88  71  89  71 /  45  26  40  26
Greenwood     86  70  88  70 /  53  29  40  20

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&


$$


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