Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FXUS62 KKEY 261325

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
925 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

KAMX doppler radar reveals a few showers and thunderstorms over
the outer Gulf waters. The activity is expected to gradually
increase over the next several hours. The KKEY 12Z sounding,
displayed favorable environmental conditions with ample moisture
and SBcape and Mlcape above 1500 J/Kg. Showers and thunderstorms
that develop will move slowly as the low and mid-level wind flow
is 5 knots or less. The shower activity will produce moderate to
heavy rainfall and frequent cloud to ground lightning. Daytime
high temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 80s for most of
the Keys today.


There are no watches, warnings, or advisories currently in effect
for the coastal waters of the Florida Keys. A weak wind regime
across South Florida and the Keys will result in light breezes
today, followed by southerly light to gentle breezes late tonight
and Monday.


VFR conditions and light winds will prevail at both the EYW and MTH
terminals through 26/12Z. Yet, we expect above normal rain/thunder
chances, today and tomorrow. Therefore, VCSH conditions are included
in the current terminals forecasts starting Sunday afternoon.
However, VCTS conditions may will have to be included in future
forecasts cycles.


In 2020, the daily record warm low temperature of 86F was last
recorded at Key West. This is also tied for the warmest low
temperature ever recorded in June for Key West. Temperature records
for Key West date back to 1873.




Data Acquisition.....AP

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