Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 221716

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1216 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Fairly quiet conditions are expected across north central Nebraska
through Saturday night. Surface high pressure and weak upper level
ridging will allow for dry weather with mild temperatures over the
next day. High temperatures today will range from the mid 80s across
the eastern Panhandle to the mid 70s east of a line from Broken Bow
to Spencer. Clear skies on Saturday night will allow for ample
radiational cooling. As a result, temperatures will drop into the low
50s across the forecast area. Some locations along and south of the
I-80 corridor could even drop into the upper 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

High pressure remains in place through Monday morning keeping dry
and warm conditions across the region. The next chance of
precipitation arrives during the day on Monday as a cold front,
associated with a low pressure system over the northern Midwest,
tracks across central Nebraska. Precipitation chances will be mainly
confined across the northern half of the forecast area. Severe
weather is not expected at this time with only minimal rainfall
totals. Active weather continues into Tuesday morning as the front
continues to sag southeastward. Again, severe weather is not
anticipated through Tuesday morning.

High pressure will then build back into the region for the remainder
of the week. There`s a very low chance of some isolated rain showers
on Wednesday night. Confidence is not high in development and will
only include a brief mention at this time. Otherwise, dry weather
continues through Friday.

For more very warm day is forecasted on Sunday
where highs are expected to reach into the upper 80s and low 90s
west of US-83. Temperatures east of US-83 will rise into the low to
mid 80s. The passage of the cold front on Monday will bring cooler
temperatures to the region. Highs rise into the mid 60s to low 70s
on Monday with temperatures on Tuesday only rising into the low to
mid 60s. Temperatures then remain steady in the upper 60s to low 70s
through Friday. Overnight low temperatures will start off in the mid
50s on Sunday night and gradually drop into the low 40s by Tuesday
night. Nighttime temperatures remain in the 40s through the end of
the week.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Visual flight rules continue through 18Z Sunday. Models showing
minor differences in the front timing that will push southeast
after the period.


Issued at 313 AM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated Sunday across
portions of the eastern Panhandle and extreme northwest NEB as low
afternoon humidity, as low as 15%, combines with light breezes.
Fuels could be favorable per fire weather partners as well. While
warming and drying trend begins Saturday, Sunday holds the driest
and warmest conditions with a ridge breakdown underway aloft with
highs forecast in the 80s, about 8 to 16 degrees above seasonable
values. Currently winds appear as the limiting factor on Sunday.
Thereafter a cold front is expected to advance across the area
Sunday night into early Monday. Elevated afternoon humidity is
expected then Monday with a sharp cool-down with highs
currently forecast in the mid 60s to mid 70s.




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