Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 160327
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for 441 Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
927 PM MDT Mon Jul 15 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure, dry and hot conditions are expected
through Wednesday. Winds will be like drainage winds with a moderate
southwest general wind aloft.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%) then becoming partly cloudy
                    (30-40%). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-82 F.
Min humidity........22-27%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 MPH shifting to the southwest
                    5-10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%).
Min temperature.....54-59 F.
Max humidity........46-51%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 MPH shifting to the northeast
                    3-5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (9000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South 15 MPH shifting to the northeast 10 MPH
                    overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
Max temperature.....75-80 F.
Min humidity........17-22%.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley 2-5 mph until about 0900 then
                    becoming southwest 7-12 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 18 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Chris Cuoco
Requested by...Ian Barrett
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1912287.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/15/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL ipbarrett@blm.gov


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