000
FXUS62 KFFC 040837
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
437 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020


.SHORT TERM /Today through Sunday/...

Dry weather expected through short term period.  Models are in good
agreement, with the weak upper level ridge flattening as surface
high pressure shifts east. Mostly clear skies are expected. ted
across the area with mainly mid and high clouds filtering into the
area through tomorrow afternoon. With moisture increasing will
see slight chance of showers mainly in the higher elevations of
northeast GA tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures will continue above
normal through the period.

Atwell

&&

.LONG TERM /Sunday Night through Friday/...

Expecting a transition to a more active pattern of various weak
impulses and enhanced moisture advecting across the area along
broad NW to zonal flow to allow for slight to chance pops most
days. While no strong forcing is indicated in the model
solutions, the best consensus with greater moisture present
continues to be with a disturbance on Tuesday so have greater
chance to likely pops. QPF with this system has most locations
getting a third to a half inch, and less with any other weak
waves through Wednesday. Euro and GFS are starting to indicate
some stronger forcing and possible fropa sometime in the Thurs/Fri
period but still have notable discrepancies so uncertainty
remains pretty high. Enough progged conditional instability
present to include general slight to chance thunderstorm mention
for portions of the CWA thru period.

Above normal temps thru the week, though coolest day Tuesday
given aforementioned increased precip potential.

Baker

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...

VFR through the period, with SCT-BKN mid to high level clouds.
Winds will light and variable overnight, generally favoring
northwest. Winds should switch over to the east side for a period
between 13-19Z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Med confidence winds. High confidence remaining elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          76  53  78  55 /   5   5   5  10
Atlanta         76  56  78  57 /   0   5   5   5
Blairsville     72  49  73  52 /   0   5  20  10
Cartersville    77  52  79  54 /   0   5  10   5
Columbus        82  58  82  59 /   0  10  10   5
Gainesville     74  53  76  55 /   0   5  10  10
Macon           79  55  81  57 /   0   5  10   5
Rome            77  52  79  53 /   0   5  10   5
Peachtree City  78  55  80  56 /   0   5  10   5
Vidalia         81  56  81  58 /   0   5  10   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....Baker
AVIATION...Atwell