Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
674
FXUS64 KOUN 280337 AAB
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1037 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to continue. Will not include
any SHRA/TSRA in western Oklahoma terminals first part of forecast
as activity over the panhandles continues to diminish. Gusty winds
will be possible through mainly at KWWR. Will include PROB30 at
KWWR for tomorrow evening with TSRA expected to impact at least
far northwest Oklahoma late in the forecast period. Gusty
southeast winds will be seen again tomorrow, especially western
Oklahoma.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 619 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018/

AVIATION...
28/00Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected with continued southeasterly
winds. 15-25KT gusts again expected across western Oklahoma
terminals again tomorrow. TSRA west of KWWR at issuance time
expected to stay primarily west and north of KWWR, at least not
high enough chance for TEMPO or prevailing mention. However,
remnants may affect site with strong wind gusts and will amend as
needed.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 317 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Convection has developed in the panhandles. The consensus in the
high-resolution models is that the storms should become less
widespread as they move toward northwest Oklahoma this evening,
although the current storms are a little farther east than these
models would suggest at this time and the RAP and mesoanalysis
shows a nearly uncapped airmass in northwest Oklahoma right now,
so will keep an eye on trends. Have kept POPs relatively low to
begin with, but will watch for the need to increase if necessary.

There is a higher chance for storms moving out of the high plains
tomorrow night and moving into at least northwest Oklahoma
overnight, but then focus shifts farther north with the ejecting
shortwave so it may not continue very far east. Another complex
looks to develop Tuesday evening in Kansas and brush across
portions of northern Oklahoma.

Otherwise, we just expect very warm to hot weather with low to
zero precipitation chances through the remainder of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  91  70  93 /   0   0   0  10
Hobart OK         72  94  72  98 /  10  10  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  72  94  72  97 /   0   0  10  10
Gage OK           71  93  69  96 /  20  20  40  20
Ponca City OK     69  93  71  92 /   0   0   0  10
Durant OK         70  90  71  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/11



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.