Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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Spot Forecast for Glacier View Community Burn Day...Larimer County Sheriffs Office
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
540 AM MDT Fri Apr 26 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...It will be mostly cloudy today with a slight chance of
rain showers this morning, then an increasing chance of rain showers
this afternoon and maybe a thunderstorm after 1500.  Gusty northwest
winds can be expected through much of day with good to excellent
smoke dispersal after 0900.  Rain will increase tonight and continue
through Saturday. Dispersal on Saturday will be poor through the day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................14 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1500, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 23 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph until 1600, then 11 to 16 mph
                    with gusts to around 25 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800. 6300 ft AGL after
                    1000.
Transport winds.....West 23 to 28 mph until 0800. Northwest 20 to
                    25 mph after 1500.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then good until 0900, then
                    very good until 1000, then excellent until
                    1400, then very good until 1700, then good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  68  66  66  66  63  66  68  69  73  80  87
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  40  50  50  60  70  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3
Temp............42  44  46  49  52  54  56  57  58  58  57  55
RH..............67  60  55  50  44  43  40  38  37  39  40  45
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..18  20  21  23  22  20  18  17  15  14  13  13
20 FT wind gust.35  35  35  35  35  35  35  33  31  30  25  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 2.4 3.8 5.2 5.7 6.6 6.7 6.8 7.2 6.2 4.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.25  25  33  33  33  31  30  28  24  23  21  21
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14  14  70  109 151 155 173 161 143 144 112 83
SmokeDispersion.P   P   G   VG  E   E   E   E   VG  VG  VG  G

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. Rain showers. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2100.
CWR.................83 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph until 2000, then north 5 to 8 mph
                    until 2400, then south around 6 mph until 0100,
                    then north 5 to 8 mph until 0400, then
                    northeast around 6 mph until 0500, then
                    variable up to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2100.  Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    2100.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL until 2000, then Below 1000 FT AGL
                    until 2100, then 1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph until 2000, then west around
                    9 mph until 2100, then north around 8 mph until
                    2200, then northwest until 2300, then north 8
                    to 11 mph until 0100, then northeast 8 to 13
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  92  95  94  97  97  97  97  97  98  97  98
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  70  80  80  80  80  80  80
Chc of pcpn (%).90  90  90  90  90  90  80  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............53  49  45  43  41  41  40  39  38  37  37  37
RH..............48  58  70  79  85  85  89  89  96  96  96  100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   S   N   N   N   NE  E
20 FT wind spd..12  9   8   6   6   5   6   6   7   7   6   3
20 FT wind gust.20  17  15  13  10  8   7       8   8       7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.4 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   W   N   NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  15  9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..48  32  8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  12  13
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Rain showers and snow
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................99 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms until
                    1200. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 1600 ft AGL
                    until 1200, then Below 1000 FT AGL until 1400,
                    then 1100 ft AGL. will develop
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph until 0900, then northeast 12
                    to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
LAL.............2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............37  38  37  37  36  35  35  35  35  35  35  35
RH..............92  89  92  92  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.9   12  16  16  16  16  15  15  15  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  15  17  20  17  15  12  13  13  14  14  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   20  21  27  23  15  9   10  12  13  13  14
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...Cooper
Requested by...Derek Rosenquist
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412257.0/BOU
.DELDT 04/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rosenqdc@co.larimer.co.us


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