Suppression Forecast
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704
FNAK71 PAFC 190307
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for McKinley...ADNR/DOF
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
707 PM AKDT Wed Sep 18 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

After a wetting rain on Wed, Thu will be a relative drying trend
with just some showers lingering along the higher terrain. Winds
should remain light out of the southeast. By late Thu night,
another system in the Gulf of AK will spread rain back over the
area. Rainfall amounts will not be as great as the previous
system, but could still bring a wetting rain to the fire. Light
north/offshore flow on Fri will bring a drying and cooling trend
that will persist into the weekend.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 22 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain developing after midnight.
CWR.................41 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3800-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southwest around 16 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.14 inches.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain in the
                    morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon.
CWR.................38 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.


$$
Forecaster...Ottenweller
Requested by...Phil Blydenburgh
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1915531.3/AER
.DELDT 09/18/19
.EMAIL dnr.dof.paq.dispatch@alaska.gov,bryan.quimby@alaska.gov



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