Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
817
FNUS71 KALY 030857
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB DAREUS RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
457 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the region this morning will shift eastward
to the New England coast during the afternoon. This high will
provide continued dry conditions through tonight. The high will
only move slightly east off the coast through Saturday, with a
frontal system slowly approaching from the west. Clouds will
increase on Saturday, with chances for showers developing west
of the Hudson Valley. Showers will become more likely by Sunday
as the system tracks east across the area with cool
temperatures.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Dewpoint............48.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming southeast
5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6
to 10 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (43200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57 60 63 60 56 53 55 57 59 60 61 62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 51 53 55 60 63 64 67 69 70 70 69
Dewpoint........47 48 49 48 48 48 48 47 47 47 47 47
RH..............89 89 86 77 64 58 56 49 45 44 44 45
20 FT wind dir..N NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT wind gust.8 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.0 4.6
Transp wind dir.NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 5 8 11 15 20 26 32 37 42 43 41
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Dewpoint............46.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63 64 65 62 59 56 57 58 59 62 65 68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 67 64 62 60 58 57 55 54 52 52 52
Dewpoint........46 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 45 45 45 45
RH..............45 49 54 58 62 67 67 72 71 77 77 77
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32 21 11 8 8 9 8 7 7 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............46.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (59800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67 66 65 66 66 67 67 68 68 70 73 75
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 52 53 55 59 61 63 65 66 67 67 67
Dewpoint........45 45 45 46 46 46 46 46 47 47 47 47
RH..............83 77 74 72 62 58 54 51 50 49 48 49
20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 17 17
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 10 15 21 28 35 43 51 56 60 60 56
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR
$$
Forecaster...JPV
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413060.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org