Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
615
FNUS71 KALY 191301
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Branch Pond Road C...USFS
National Weather Service Albany NY
901 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain in control of our weather, providing
plenty of sunshine and cooler than normal temperatures today.
Temperatures will begin moderating to above normal levels Friday
into the weekend with dry weather continuing as the high drifts
into the southeastern United States.

RH values will be 30 to 45 percent this afternoon, then increase
to 80 to 100 percent tonight. RH values will be 40 to 50
percent Friday afternoon.

Winds will be variable at less than 15 mph through Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Dewpoint............38.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......1800-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 1 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire
                    growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  47  51  55  59  60  60  60
Dewpoint........37  37  38  39  40  40  40  40
RH..............79  68  61  55  49  47  47  47
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.        2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.6
Transp wind dir.NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.1   1   1   2   2   3   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/10000   0   2   5   7   9   11  11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      3      5      8      15     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............58     52     48     47     47     43
Dewpoint........41     42     39     38     40     41
RH..............53     69     71     71     76     93
20 ft wind......W 3    W 4    W 5    W 6    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.4      5      6             8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   100    BLW100 100    100    100
Transport wind..W 3    W 3    W 5    W 6    W 7    W 7
Haines index....4      4      4      4      5      5
VRate kt-ft/10008      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............44 increasing to 47 early in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 8 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1900 ft AGL increasing to 1700-2300 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-21300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........21     19     21     22     22     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............42     42     53     61     63     65
Dewpoint........42     42     44     46     47     47
RH..............100    100    71     58     56     50
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 5   NW 4   NW 4   W 5    W 6
20 ft wind gust.7      6      5      5      6      8
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 100    1300   2200   2300   2000
Transport wind..W 6    W 5    NW 7   NW 9   NW 9   W 13
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      4
VRate kt-ft/10000      0      10     17     19     21

$$
Forecaster...DiRienzo
Requested by...Don Tucker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1915749.0/ALY
.DELDT 09/19/19
.EMAIL nhnecc@firenet.gov



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.