Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Robinson Hill RD Live Fire Exercise...Pawlet Volunteer Fire Dept.
National Weather Service Burlington VT
612 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......200-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire
                    growth.

TIME (EDT)      MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........28     42     61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
Temp............52     51     51
RH..............74     77     77
20 ft wind......SE 11  SE 12  SE 12
20 ft wind gust.17     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....200    200    300
Transport wind..SE 17  SE 17  S 17
Haines index....4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph increasing to 12 to 21 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........74     84     93     95     90     86
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     40     50     50     50
Temp............51     54     57     60     63     67
RH..............80     74     80     84     84     75
20 ft wind......S 12   S 10   S 12   S 12   S 12   S 12
20 ft wind gust.18     17     18     18     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    1200   1400   1200   800
Transport wind..S 18   S 17   S 21   S 21   S 18   S 18
Haines index....3      2      2      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...JMG
Requested by...R. Morlino, 2nd Asst. Chief
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1915109.0/BTV
.DELDT 09/13/19
.EMAIL robertm850@aol.com


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