Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 241539
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Kerr WMA...TPWD
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
939 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
With drier in place, RHs will dip into the mid 20%s today. Winds
will be from the south to southeast at around 5 mph this afternoon.
With the southerly winds today and tonight moisture will return and
relative humidity will recover to near 70% tonight and the minimum
Saturday will be near 60%. There will be a chance for some light rain
Saturday night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   4   3   2   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  55  60  63  64  65  63  61
RH..............52  38  31  28  28  27  30  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   7   7   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   4   4   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 3.6 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.0 3.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 4
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 7 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   3   9   16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  54  51  48  46  45  45  44  43  42  42  41
RH..............39  45  52  56  60  60  60  65  67  67  65  73
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.                                5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   10  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  36  49  63  67  71  75  79  84  88  86  84
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  43  45  48  52  56  59  61  61  60  60  60
RH..............76  86  86  86  83  74  67  62  63  67  69  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   9   10  11  10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.            10                          10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   5   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  16  18  22  25  28  29  29  29  28  25  24
Haines index....3   3   4   4   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...05
Requested by...Deanna Pfeffer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2001082.0/EWX
.DELDT 01/24/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL deanna.pfeffer@tpwd.texas.gov


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