Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME

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829
FNUS71 KGYX 190703
FWSGYX

Spot Forecast for Unit 19 Waterboro Barrens TNC...The Nature Conservancy Maine
National Weather Service Gray ME
303 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the region will allow for sunny skies and light
winds today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of fog and frost
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Dewpoint............29 increasing to 36 early in the morning.
Min apparent temp...29.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1600-17300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................4 increasing to 12 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 26 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    11 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............29  40  48  54  57  60  63  66  66  66  66
Dewpoint........29  36  36  36  36  36  36  36  36  36  36
RH..............100 92  65  54  45  41  36  33  33  33  33
Aparnt tmp (F)..29  38  47  52  57  60  63  66  66  66  66
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  E   NE  NW  W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 2.3 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  N   NE  N   NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.6   5   3   5   5   2   3   3   5   5   5
LVORI...........9   7   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............6   2   4   14  9   11  23  28  28  25  11
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/10002   2   2   9   13  7   12  12  17  17  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of fog early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Min apparent temp...38.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3 until early morning.
ADI.................4 until early morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....                                    ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                                    FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  56  51  49  47  45  45  44  43  43  42  41
Dewpoint........38  39  40  39  39  38  38  38  38  39  39  40
RH..............42  53  66  68  74  76  76  79  82  86  89  96
Aparnt tmp (F)..61  56  51  48  46  44  44  42  41  41  40  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   7   8   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   M   M   M   M
ADI.............5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   M   M   M   M
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/10003   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog early in
                    the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............43 increasing to 48 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Min apparent temp...39.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-2200 ft AGL increasing to 1300-3100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2100-28200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  17  17  17  30  30  30  30  30  30
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO  NO
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  45  50  56  61  66  69  71  73  76  75  74
Dewpoint........41  42  44  45  46  48  48  49  50  50  50  50
RH..............100 89  80  66  58  52  47  46  44  40  41  43
Aparnt tmp (F)..39  44  49  56  61  66  69  71  73  76  75  74
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   10  10  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   5   6   8   8   9   12  14  15  15
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/10002   3   3   3   6   15  22  25  28  27  23  17

$$
Forecaster...MLE
Requested by...Jon Bailey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1915719.0/GYX
.DELDT 09/19/19
.EMAIL jbailey@tnc.org



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