Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KLUB 040757
FWSLUB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for BURNS RX...TPWD
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
257 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be warm with light southeast breezes this morning becoming
modest southerly this afternoon. High pressure over New Mexico will edge
slowly east tonight and Wednesday. A disturbance will bring a chance for
strong thunderstorms late tonight, mainly after midnight. These storms
will move to the southeast and have potential for strong outflow wind
gusts that should be mostly from the northwest or north. Wednesday will
be mostly sunny and hot with the upper level high pressure ridge moving
into southwest Texas and the western South Plains.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........27     20     14     16     16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     79     87     93     97
RH..............75     57     43     36     31
20 ft wind......E 5    SE 9   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 ft wind gust.6      12     13     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2100   4600   7400   9400
Transport wind..SE 8   S 14   S 14   S 13   S 14
Haines index....2      2      2      2      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 9 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........14     19     24     30     27     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............97     94     85     81     78     74
RH..............29     31     43     49     57     63
20 ft wind......S 12   SE 10  SE 8   SE 8   SE 6   E 5
20 ft wind gust.14     13     10     10     7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....9300   5500   100    BLW100 100    100
Transport wind..S 18   S 15   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8   SE 5
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the north 2 to
                    8 mph late in the morning, then increasing to
                    south 15 to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........36     39     32     24     20     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     73     80     89     95     99
RH..............68     64     50     37     28     22
20 ft wind......E 5    E 7    E 9    S 12   S 13   S 13
20 ft wind gust.6      10     12     14     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 300    1600   4400   7400   9600
Transport wind..SE 5   SE 3   N 3    SW 15  S 21   S 18
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...MCQUEEN
Requested by...Bobby schatb
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2010373.0/LUB
.DELDT 08/04/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL Bobby.schat@TPWD.texas.gov



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